The Sentinel-Record

European crisis spreads as Merkel resists big steps

- COLLEEN BARRY

MILAN — A growing number of European countries are being squeezed by a financial vise just days before a Greek election that could escalate the region’s political and economic turmoil.

The rise of Italian and Spanish borrowing costs to alarming levels Thursday heaped pressure on leaders to prevent Europe’s debt crisis from engulfing its largest countries. No grand solution appears imminent.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel opposes solutions that many experts are pushing that would increase costs for Berlin.

Merkel has found herself isolated from the leaders of Spain, Italy and France, who want the 17 countries in the euro currency union to move quickly to bind their government­s’ finances and debt.

Such action could take the form of jointly issued debt or European- wide guarantees on bank deposits. Either step would spread the risks that individual countries bear across the eurozone.

Italian Premier Mario Monti has agreed with French President Francois Hollande on the need for such measures. But Germany, which as Europe’s largest economy bears most of the cost of bailouts, is reluctant to expose itself even more.

The proposed steps are expected to dominate talks at next week’s summit of Group of 20 leaders in Mexico.

Compoundin­g the debt crisis is the fear that’s gripped European banks about lending to each other — a key element of a stable banking system.

“The European banking system is paralyzed,” said Nicolas Veron, senior fellow at the Bruegel think tank in Brussels. “So many banks hold massive amounts of Spanish and Italian government bonds that are losing value. We no longer have a functionin­g interbank ( lending) market in the eurozone.”

On Thursday, the Institute of Internatio­nal Finance called for some coordinate­d action by major central banks to address the crisis. And Britain’s Treasury chief said the government and the Bank of England will launch an emergency bank lending plan to try to ease credit. Britain isn’t in the euro currency union, but British banks have been wary of lending in part because of worries about the fate of the eurozone.

Experts warn that the need for a solution is urgent and that European leaders must signal to investors soon that a consensus is forming around some plan. They note how fast fears about Spain have spread to Italy. Matters could worsen this weekend, when Greece holds elections that could determine whether that country sticks to the terms of its bailout.

Abandoning the bailout deal would likely require Greece to leave the currency union, bringing uncertain consequenc­es for Europe and the global economy.

“We’re at a tipping point,” said Michael Hewson, a senior analyst at CMC Markets. “You either have to deliver or disband.”

Here’s a look at the situation in individual countries: — ITALY Investors are demanding high interest rates on bonds for fear that Italy might soon need financial aid.

The interest Italy must pay to raise ( euro) 3 billion ($ 3.76 billion) in three- year loans from financial markets jumped Thursday to 5.3 percent. That’s the highest rate since December. Italy also auctioned 10- year bonds at a worryingly high rate of 6.13 percent.

The rates spiked after a European deal to save Spain’s banks failed this week to defuse worries about Spanish debt.

“They mucked up Spain so badly that now it’s impacted Italy,” said Gary Jenkins of Swordfish Research, a bond research consultanc­y. “There’s a lot of fragility there.”

Italy has the eurozone’s thirdlarge­st economy. For now, it can finance its debt. But the rising cost of doing so is causing pain. With the economy in a deep recession, the debt is expected to keep rising. The latest figures released Thursday showed it hit a new high of ( euro) 1.95 trillion ($ 2.4 trillion) in April.

To lower the debt, Italy’s economy must become more competitiv­e. Monti has admonished Italian lawmakers not to slow the passage of key reforms. Still, he recognizes that a resolution can’t happen if bond investors keep pushing up Italy’s borrowing rates over concern about the eurozone’s future. — SPAIN Spain’s troubles keep growing. A ( euro) 100 billion European rescue loan for its banks was meant to help. Yet it’s raised concern that the government, which is ultimately liable for the money, will have trouble repaying it. The Moody’s ratings agency on Wednesday downgraded Spain’s sovereign debt three notches because of that.

As a result, Spain’s key borrowing rate hit a fresh high Thursday.

The interest rate — or yield — on the country’s benchmark 10- year bonds rose to a record 6.96 percent in early trading, close to the level that many analysts say is unsustaina­ble in the long run and the rate that forced Greece, Ireland and Portugal to seek bailouts.

Spain won’t immediatel­y collapse if the rate hits 7 percent, Reaching that point, though, would squeeze the government next week, when it’s scheduled to auction debt.

“The clock is definitely ticking,” said Michael Hewson, an analyst with CMC Markets.

Details of what the bailout might look like began to emerge Thursday. European officials are considerin­g liquidatio­n — selling a bank’s assets — as part of the plan to bolster Spain’s banks, a spokesman for Competitio­n Commission­er Joaquin Almunia said.

“Liquidatio­n is always looked at,” said Antoine Colombani. “We prefer to liquidate when it’s cheaper for the taxpayer.” — GREECE Greece’s national election this weekend has become the next focal point for Europe’s financial crisis. The left- wing Syriza party, which finished second in the first round of voting in May, wants to abandon the country’s internatio­nal bailout terms. As a result, Greece would be cut off from loans, face bankruptcy and possibly leave the euro.

In the latest official polls, the party was essentiall­y tied with the conservati­ve New Democracy. Still, Greece’s stock markets soared on rumors that New Democracy would win enough votes to create a coalition and keep Greece in the eurozone. Analysts warned against taking the rumors as fact.

It isn’t clear what effect a Greek exit from the euro would have. Some experts say it would fuel fear that other countries like Portugal might leave as well, threatenin­g to create a domino effect. Because Europe, as a whole, is the largest economy in the world, a Greek exit would roil financial markets. It would also hurt Greece’s trade with countries from the United States to Japan.

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