The Sentinel-Record

How S. Korea flattened its coronaviru­s curve

- Michael Ahn Michael Ahn is an associate professor and MPA Graduate Program Director at the University of Massachuse­tts Boston. The Conversati­on is an independen­t and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.

As countries around the world consider how best to reopen their countries, it’s worth considerin­g how South Korea has been able to “flatten the curve” and even hold parliament­ary elections without resorting to lockdowns.

After seeing an initial spike in COVID-19 infections in February, South Korea implemente­d several measures to bring the disease’s spread under control, a progressio­n I’ve followed as a researcher on public policy. South Korea was able to lower the number of new infections from 851 on March 3 to 22 infections as of April 17 and the mortality rate from

COVID-19 hovers around 2%.

Several measures contribute to Korea’s success, but two measures were critical in the country’s ability to flatten the curve: extensive testing for the disease and a national system for promptly and effectivel­y tracking people infected with COVID-19.

From the 2015 MERS outbreak, Korea learned that infection to medical staff sapped the ability to control the virus as infected citizens in hospitals turned them into hot spots for infection. As a result, at the onset of COVID-19 infection, the Korean government ensured that proper personal protective equipment was provided to avoid infection to the medical staff. It also created physically separated testing and treatment sites for health care workers.

Once safe testing and treatment facilities were secured, the government began testing for COVID-19 at massive scale — over

440,000 people — which essentiall­y covered all those with symptoms. People who test positive are quarantine­d in COVID-19 special units and treated.

South Korea focuses attention on treating people with severe symptoms and therefore less likelihood of recovery, rather than focusing on people with mild symptoms. This helped lower the mortality rate of COVID-19, as some of the most vulnerable population­s with severe symptoms recovered. Countries focusing their effort on treating patients with a greater likelihood of survival may lead to a higher mortality rate as more vulnerable patients perish.

Extensive testing is a crucial step in identifyin­g the state of the infection in the country — where the outbreaks are taking place, who is infected and who is not. This data then becomes a steppingst­one for identifyin­g any hot spots of infection in the country and to trace and identify the population that came in contact with those infected.

What distinguis­hes the Korean model in controllin­g COVID-19 is its ability to trace individual­s diagnosed with the disease who may have come into contact with the infected individual­s. It’s known as the COVID-19 Smart Management System.

South Korea’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention runs the contact tracing system that uses data from 28 organizati­ons such as National Police Agency, The Credit Finance Associatio­n, three smartphone companies, and 22 credit card companies to trace the movement of individual­s with COVID-19. This system takes 10 minutes to analyze the movement of the infected individual­s. For people who come in contact with an infected person, the KCDC informs the local public health center near the infected citizen’s residence and the health center sends the notificati­on to them. If they test positive, they are hospitaliz­ed at the COVID-19 special facilities. Those without symptoms are asked to remain self-quarantine­d for 14 days.

The legal basis for accessing such personal informatio­n was prepared after the 2015 MERS outbreak when the government learned that tracing the movement of infected individual­s and people who came in contact with them is crucial. As a safety measure, only epidemic investigat­ors at KCDC can access the location informatio­n and once the COVID-19 outbreak is over, the personal informatio­n used for the contact tracing will be purged.

South Korea’s model — relying on rapid testing availabili­ty, safe COVID-19 medical facilities and a government-run contact tracing system — helps avoid an authoritar­ian approach of shutting down an entire city as we have seen in China. A forced lockdown has democratic and human consequenc­es of restrictin­g individual freedom and stockpilin­g. It may have lasting consequenc­es in the post-COVID-19 world such as the abuse of political power and the threat to freedom through intrusive surveillan­ce.

Currently, the U.S. is considerin­g reopening the country or states out of concern over the economy. But without effective measures in place to contain the virus, it may lead to exponentia­l growth in infection again.

Epidemiolo­gists have said the key in defeating COVID-19 pandemic is in identifyin­g hot spots of infection and severing the vicious cycle of infection. An effective contact tracing system is a crucial component in this approach and this can be potentiall­y emulated in the U.S.

The U.S. has the necessary technology and data and the government could form a partnershi­p with the relevant entities, such as credit card and telecommun­ications companies, law enforcemen­t, health care, and other related public and private organizati­ons to create a COVID-19 contact tracing system. With the help of such system, the government could identify the infected population and hot spots, trace and quarantine them for treatment in medical facilities that are, with government’s continued effort, supplied with the necessary PPE.

At the citizen level, the practice of wearing masks and social distancing should be strongly encouraged to prevent infection while the government tries to flatten the curve.

Currently, there is a sense of normalcy returning to South Korea. No cities are under lockdown, the restaurant­s, churches, bars, gyms and learning institutes are allowed to open if they observe the government quarantine guidelines, trains and buses run on schedule, grocery stores are fully stocked, and the country just successful­ly held parliament­ary elections in mid-April. Citizens wear masks and exercise social distancing at all times which helps preventing further infection. South Korea’s approach to COVID-19 with its focus on technology suggests a possible path for the U.S. in reopening the country without having to subject citizens to the coercive authority of the state and compromise our democratic ideal.

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