The Standard Journal

Can AI flag disease outbreaks faster than humans? Not quite

- By Matt O’Brien and Christina Larson

Comedians are making their return to the White House Correspond­ents’ Dinner after last year’s hiatus.

Kenan Thompson of “Saturday Night Live” and Hasan Minhaj of Netflix’s “Patriot Act with Hasan Minhaj” will headline this year’s dinner, which takes place April 25.

Presidents and first ladies have traditiona­lly attended the dinner, which serves as a celebratio­n of the First Amendment as well as a fundraiser for college scholarshi­ps. Reporting awards are given out as well.

But President Donald Trump has skipped the dinner throughout his presidency and instead has elected to hold campaign rallies. Just four days before last year’s dinner, the White House announced that administra­tion officials would be joining Trump in boycotting the dinner.

The White House declined to comment about whether the president would attend this year.

Last year’s dinner featured Pulitzer Prize-winning author Ron Chernow after some dinner attendees and commentato­rs complained that a sharply anti-Trump performanc­e by comedian Michelle Wolf in 2018 was too pointed and unfairly targeted then-White House press secretary Sarah Sanders.

Thompson will serve as this year’s host. Minhaj will be the featured entertaine­r.

Did an artificial-intelligen­ce system beat human doctors in warning the world of a severe coronaviru­s outbreak in China?

In a narrow sense, yes. But what the humans lacked in sheer speed, they more than made up in finesse.

Early warnings of disease outbreaks can help people and government­s save lives. In the final days of 2019, an AI system in Boston sent out the first global alert about a new viral outbreak in China. But it took human intelligen­ce to recognize the significan­ce of the outbreak and then awaken response from the public health community.

What’s more, the mere mortals produced a similar alert only a half-hour behind the AI.

For now, AI-powered disease-alert systems can still resemble car alarms — easily triggered and sometimes ignored. A network of medical experts and sleuths must still do the hard work of sifting through rumors to piece together the fuller picture. It’s difficult to say what future AI systems, powered by ever larger datasets on outbreaks, may be able to accomplish.

The first public alert outside China about the novel coronaviru­s came on Dec. 30 from the automated HealthMap system at Boston Children’s Hospital. At 11:12 p.m. time, HealthMap sent an alert about unidentifi­ed pneumonia cases in Wuhan. The system, which scans online news and social media reports, ranked the alert’s seriousnes­s as only 3 out of 5. It took days for HealthMap researcher­s to recognize its importance.

Four hours before the HealthMap notice, New York epidemiolo­gist Marjorie Pollack had already started working on her own public alert, spurred by a growing sense of dread after reading a personal email.

“This is being passed around the internet here,” wrote her contact, who linked to a post on Chinese social media forum Pincong. The post discussed a Wuhan health agency notice and read in part: “Unexplaine­d pneumonia???”

Pollack, of the volunteer-led Program for Monitoring Emerging Diseases, known as ProMed, mobilized a team to look into it. ProMed’s more detailed report went out about 30 minutes after the terse HealthMap alert.

Early warning systems that scan social media, online news articles and government reports for signs of infectious disease outbreaks help inform global agencies — giving internatio­nal experts a head start when local bureaucrat­ic hurdles and language barriers might otherwise get in the way.

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 ??  ?? Kyle Martin, a worker at HealthMap, a system using artificial intelligen­ce to monitor global disease outbreaks, mines health data to keep the system up to date at Boston Children’s Hospital. A screen behind displays a world map with dots marking cases of COVID-19.
Kyle Martin, a worker at HealthMap, a system using artificial intelligen­ce to monitor global disease outbreaks, mines health data to keep the system up to date at Boston Children’s Hospital. A screen behind displays a world map with dots marking cases of COVID-19.

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