GOLDEN GLOBES BRING DRAMA

The Sun Herald (Sunday) - - Front Page - BY KYLE BUCHANAN

Tonight’s show pro­vides the big­gest pit stop on the way to the Os­cars, and this year’s cer­e­mony is ad­van­ta­geously timed.

The Golden Globes pro­vide the high­est-pro­file pit stop on the way to the Academy Awards, and this year’s cer­e­mony is per­haps the most ad­van­ta­geously timed edi­tion yet: The day af­ter NBC airs the Globes on Sun­day, vot­ing be­gins for the Os­car nom­i­na­tions. A win, then, will help con­tenders re­main front of mind for academy mem­bers fill­ing out their bal­lots on Mon­day, and there will be plenty of those win­ners to go around, since the Globes spread the wealth by split­ting their big­gest races into sep­a­rate cat­e­gories for dra­mas and com­edy/musicals.

Still, for as of­ten as the Globes add their im­pri­matur to an al­ready pre­sumed Os­car front-run­ner, this show can still have up­sets. The Globes are voted on by the Hol­ly­wood For­eign Press As­so­ci­a­tion, a quirky group of around 90 jour­nal­ists with only one academy mem­ber in its ranks. These in­di­vid­u­als have their own tastes, and be­low, we try to think like an HFPA voter to guess the out­come of the 14 film races.

BEST AC­TRESS IN A MO­TION PIC­TURE – DRAMA

Nom­i­nees: Glenn Close, “The Wife”; Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”; Ni­cole Kid­man, “De­stroyer”; Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever For­give Me?” and Rosamund Pike, “A Pri­vate War”

Though the even­tual Os­car race for best ac­tress will prob­a­bly in­clude Olivia Col­man for “The Favourite,” the Globes have her com­pet­ing in the com­edy cat­e­gory, so this par­tic­u­lar con­test will come down to the vet­eran Close and the pop star Gaga. Close is a 15-time Globe nom­i­nee who’s won twice for tele­vi­sion per­for­mances, while Gaga won the only Globe she was nom­i­nated for be­fore, thanks to her per­for­mance in the 2015 TV show “Amer­i­can Hor­ror Story: Ho­tel.” Globes vot­ers know that Gaga would de­liver a cap­i­tal-M mo­ment if she wins, and that will prob­a­bly tip the scales in her fa­vor.

BEST AC­TOR IN A MO­TION PIC­TURE – DRAMA

Nom­i­nees: Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”; Willem Dafoe, “At Eter­nity’s Gate”; Lu­cas Hedges, “Boy Erased”; Rami Malek, “Bo­hemian Rhap­sody” and John David Washington, “BlacKkKlans­man”

Will “A Star Is Born” take home his-and-hers Globes? I would put my chips on Cooper to pre­vail, with one caveat: Vot­ers adored “Bo­hemian Rhap­sody” and could push Malek to a sur­prise win here. (And if you’re won­der­ing why this con­test be­tween two on-screen singers isn’t tak­ing place in the com­e­dy­mu­si­cal cat­e­gory, it’s be­cause the film­mak­ers be­hind both movies opted to sub­mit for the more pres­ti­gious drama cat­e­gory.)

BEST MO­TION PIC­TURE – DRAMA

Nom­i­nees: “Black Pan­ther”; “BlacKkKlans­man”; “Bo­hemian Rhap­sody”; “If Beale Street Could Talk” and “A Star Is Born”

Though Globes vot­ers have made their fair share of wacky choices in the past, the group knows that rec­og­niz­ing “Bo­hemian Rhap­sody” in this cat­e­gory would draw de­ri­sion, es­pe­cially since Bryan Singer, a mag­net for con­tro­versy, was fired as direc­tor dur­ing pro­duc­tion. “A Star Is Born,” then, should eas­ily coast to vic­tory.

BEST AC­TRESS IN A MO­TION PIC­TURE – MU­SI­CAL OR COM­EDY

Nom­i­nees: Emily

Blunt, “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns”; Olivia Col­man, “The Favourite”; Elsie Fisher, “Eighth Grade”; Char­l­ize Theron, “Tully” and Con­stance Wu, “Crazy Rich Asians”

This race is be­tween two Brits. Blunt is com­ing off a ban­ner year that in­cludes star­ring in “A Quiet Place,” and though Globes vot­ers vir­tu­ally shut out that hor­ror film, its su­per­hit sta­tus only adds strength to Blunt’s bid for “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns.” Mean­while, Col­man’s turn as the ad­dled queen in “The Favourite” has the most Os­car heat. While Blunt would be a prac­ti­cally per­fect Globe win­ner, the HFPA will prob­a­bly go for Col­man, so as to seem more

pre­scient.

BEST AC­TOR IN A MO­TION PIC­TURE – MU­SI­CAL OR COM­EDY

Nom­i­nees: Chris­tian Bale, “Vice”; Lin-Manuel Mi­randa, “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns”; Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”; Robert Red­ford, “The Old Man & the Gun” and John C. Reilly, “Stan & Ol­lie”

Adam McKay’s “Vice” picked up the most Globes nods of any movie, so there’s no rea­son to bet against Chris­tian Bale’s per­for­mance as Dick Cheney here. Only Mortensen could put up a fight, but there is an eas­ier cat­e­gory to come for vot­ers who want to rec­og­nize “Green Book.”

BEST MO­TION PIC­TURE – MU­SI­CAL OR COM­EDY

Nom­i­nees: “Crazy Rich Asians”; “The Favourite”; “Green Book”; “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns” and “Vice”

Globes vot­ers were clearly par­tial to “Vice,” but not long af­ter the nom­i­na­tions were an­nounced, the film’s re­view em­bargo broke and “Vice” got wildly mixed no­tices. Will that cool vot­ers’ ar­dor? If so, the bet­ter-re­viewed “The Favourite” is an easy pick.

BEST AC­TRESS IN A SUP­PORT­ING ROLE IN ANY MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: Amy Adams, “Vice”; Claire Foy, “First Man”; Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”; Emma Stone, “The Favourite” and Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”

Though Adams has never won an Os­car, she’s taken home two Golden Globes, in­clud­ing one for the largely for­got­ten Tim Bur­ton film “Big Eyes.” In a year when Adams may have her strong­est shot at the Academy Award, I sus­pect Globe vot­ers will be in­clined to throw their weight be­hind her.

BEST AC­TOR IN A SUP­PORT­ING ROLE IN ANY MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: Ma­her­shala Ali, “Green Book”; Ti­mothée Cha­la­met, “Beau­ti­ful Boy”; Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlans­man”; Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever For­give Me?” and Sam Rock­well, “Vice”

Two years ago, when Ali picked up nearly ev­ery tro­phy un­der the sun for “Moon­light,” the Globes proved to be the out­lier: In­stead, the group gave its sup­port­ing-ac­tor tro­phy to the “Noc­tur­nal An­i­mals” star Aaron Tay­lor-John- son, who didn’t even make Os­car’s fi­nal five. This year should prove to be a make-good for Ali, con­sid­ered the Os­car front-run­ner for what is prac­ti­cally a co-lead in “Green Book.”

BEST DIREC­TOR – MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”; Al­fonso Cuarón, “Roma”; Peter Far­relly, “Green Book”; Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlans­man” and Adam McKay, “Vice”

Net­flix hopes that “Roma” will be the streamer’s first nom­i­nee for best pic­ture at the Os­cars, but since it’s a for­eign-lan­guage film, it wasn’t el­i­gi­ble for best drama at the Globes, ac­cord­ing to HFPA rules. Still, the film was al­lowed to com­pete in most other cat­e­gories, and while lead Yal­itza Apari­cio didn’t make it into the best-ac­tress race, Cuarón still has so much in­dus­try heat that he could trump the first-time film­maker Cooper.

BEST SCREEN­PLAY – MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: Al­fonso Cuarón, “Roma”; Deborah Davis and Tony McNa­mara, “The Favourite”; Barry Jenk­ins, “If Beale Street Could Talk”; Adam McKay, “Vice” and Peter Far­relly, Nick Val­le­longa, Brian Cur­rie, “Green Book”

Un­less Globes vot­ers have de­cid­edly switched al­le­giances to “The Favourite,” I’d ex­pect “Vice” to take the win in this cat­e­gory.

BEST MO­TION PIC­TURE – AN­I­MATED

Nom­i­nees: “In­cred­i­bles 2”; “Isle of Dogs”; “Mi­rai”; “Ralph Breaks the In­ter­net” and “Spi­der­Man: Into the Spi­derVerse”

In the 12 years since the Globes have cre­ated this cat­e­gory, a Pixar film has pre­vailed eight times.

That should bode well for “In­cred­i­bles 2,” which is the high­est-gross­ing an­i­mated movie in his­tory … and yet my Spidey sense is telling me there could be a po­ten­tial up­set. “Spi­der­Man: Into the Spi­der- Verse” is com­ing on strong as a year-end con­tender, and the peo­ple who love it evan­ge­lize about it in a way that is rare. Are enough of those fans in the Hol­ly­wood For­eign Press As­so­ci­a­tion?

BEST MO­TION PIC­TURE – FOR­EIGN LAN­GUAGE

Nom­i­nees: “Caper­naum”; “Girl”; “Never Look Away”; “Roma” and “Sho­plifters”

This will be one of the night’s eas­i­est wins to call: No other for­eign-lan­guage con­tender has the Os­car heat or the eight-fig­ure awards-sea­son spend­ing of “Roma.”

BEST ORIG­I­NAL SCORE – MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: Marco Bel­trami, “A Quiet Place”; Alexan­dre De­s­plat, “Isle of Dogs”; Lud­wig Go­rans­son, “Black Pan­ther”; Justin Hur­witz, “First Man” and Marc Shaiman, “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns”

It’s still sort of out­ra­geous to me that the in­cred­i­ble score for “If

Beale Street Could Talk” wasn’t nom­i­nated. To me, the only other score on its level is Hur­witz’s for

“First Man,” yet the Hol­ly­wood For­eign Press As­so­ci­a­tion clearly wasn’t that fond of the film. Could that al­low the

Globe to go to a dif­fer­ent movie that might not win any­thing else, like “Black Pan­ther” or “Mary Pop­pins Re­turns”? I’d still bet on “First Man,” but an­other out­come wouldn’t be sur­pris­ing.

BEST ORIG­I­NAL SONG – MO­TION PIC­TURE

Nom­i­nees: “All the Stars” – “Black Pan­ther”; “Girl in the Movies” – “Dumplin’ ”; “Re­quiem for a Pri­vate War” – “A Pri­vate War”; “Rev­e­la­tion” – “Boy Erased” and “Shal­low” – “A Star Is Born”

There is no way on Gaga’s green earth that “Shal­low” will lose this Globe. If the pre­sen­ter hap­pens to read a dif­fer­ent name, ex­pect a pha­lanx of pro­duc­ers to storm the stage, just to make sure there hasn’t been a “Moon­light”/“La La Land” mix-up.

Warner Bros. Pic­tures

Bradley Cooper as Jack and Lady Gaga as Ally are seen in “A Star is Born.”

GREIG FRASER An­na­purna Pic­tures

“Vice” stars Chris­tian Bale as former Vice Pres­i­dent Dick Cheney.

ALEX BAI­LEY Twen­ti­eth Cen­tury Fox

Rami Malek stars as Fred­die Mer­cury in Twen­ti­eth Cen­tury Fox’s “Bo­hemian Rhap­sody.”

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