The Times Herald (Norristown, PA)

How will Trump tariffs work?

- By Paul Wiseman

WASHINGTON » Can he succeed?

President Donald Trump is making a bold gamble by inviting the countries of the world to negotiate their way out of heavy new taxes on steel and aluminum imported to the United States.

When Trump announced Thursday that he was slapping tariffs of 25 percent on imported steel and 10 percent on aluminum, he temporaril­y exempted big steel producers Canada and Mexico — provided they agree to renegotiat­e a North American trade deal to his satisfacti­on.

Other countries, too, could be spared, the president said, if they can convince the administra­tion that their steel and aluminum exports don’t threaten American industry.

By offering countries a way to escape the tariffs, Trump might have eased the risk of a destructiv­e trade war. At least for now.

But “it introduces a lot of uncertaint­y,” says Wendy Cutler, a former U.S. trade official now at the Asia Society Policy Institute. “You’re going to see countries camping out in Washington and trying to figure out who they need to talk to.”

Here’s a closer look at what Trump’s action does, how it would work and whether it’s likely to succeed. WHY IMPOSE TAXES ON IMPORTED STEEL AND ALUMINUM?

Trump dusted off an obscure section of American trade law: It says the president can impose tariffs on imports that pose a threat to U.S. security. The president has “huge leeway because it’s national security,” says Amanda DeBusk, a trade lawyer and partner at Hughes Hubbard & Reed LLP. “He can impose tariffs as high or low as he wants.”

The administra­tion argued that healthy steel and aluminum industries are vital to the national defense. The tariffs, to take effect in 15 days, are designed to reinvigora­te those industries. WHY DO STEEL AND ALUMINUM MAKERS NEED HELP?

U.S. steel and aluminum producers — and their counterpar­ts around the world — have been hammered by overproduc­tion by China. Beijing’s explosive output has depressed global metals prices and forced U.S. domestic companies to reduce production and cut jobs.

“The American aluminum and steel industry has been ravaged by aggressive foreign trade practices,” Trump declared at a White House ceremony, surrounded by steel and aluminum workers holding white hard hats. “It’s really an assault on our country.” SO IF CHINA IS THE PROBLEM, WILL IT BE HARDEST HIT BY THE TARIFFS?

Nope. Chinese metal imports to the United States are already heavily restricted. China is just America’s 11th-biggest supplier of foreign steel and the fourthbigg­est supplier of aluminum. As

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