The Ukiah Daily Journal

COVID-19 case rates still high

- By Justine Frederikse­n udjjf@ukiahdj.com

Though COVID-19 case rates appear to be dropping somewhat statewide, the case rate in Mendocino County remains stubbornly high, about twice that of neighborin­g Sonoma County, a Ukiah emergency room doctor reported this week.

“We keep adding about 20 new COVID cases per day in our rather small county, which is a pretty high rate,” said Dr. Drew Colfax, an emergency room physician who practices at Adventist Health Ukiah Valley, speaking Tuesday with Alicia Bales on KZYX&Z for the latest installmen­t of their now twice-a-month Local Coronaviru­s Update. “And we are exceptiona­lly high when compared to the surroundin­g counties, and have been for a number of weeks now. I’ve been sort of disappoint­ed to see our numbers not fall in any significan­t or meaningful way.”

In the last two weeks, Colfax said “we’ve added approximat­ely 250 new, documented cases of COVID. Our hospital rate, which is the metric that most people are concerned about, remains manageable, but not negligible.”

Colfax described Mendocino County’s COVID case rate as twice that of the rate in Sonoma County, and three to four times that of the Bay Area counties.

When asked what Mendocino County might be doing differentl­y than other neighborin­g counties, Colfax said he did not have a good answer, but “I think that the cases that continue to come up are primarily amongst the unvaccinat­ed, though not exclusivel­y, and there are still large pockets of this county that just don’t have very high vaccine rates, and (the virus) just keeps spreading amongst those individual­s, combined with the increased socializat­ion.

“People who are showing up in the ER with symptoms are, by and large, unvaccinat­ed,” said Colfax, describing the age range of those patients as “usually middle aged, or even younger. We have a pretty high vaccine uptake amongst the 65-plus crowd, but the people who are getting sick and symptomati­c are the people in their 30s and

40s who tell me on their second, or third, or fourth visit, that they just didn’t think that this was going to affect them in any significan­t way.”

When asked if another wave of COVID was coming this winter, Colfax said “the waves are going to get smaller, but (locally) we do not have enough immunity to forestall them. What we look like in early January won’t be as bad as last January, but I think it’s going to be considerab­ly worse than it is right now. I hope I’m wrong, but there are still more than enough (unvaccinat­ed) people to get sick and present for medical attention.”

On Monday, Mendocino County Public Health officials reported that 43 new cases of COVID-19 had been reported among local residents for a total of 8,101. As of Monday afternoon, seven people were hospitaliz­ed with the virus, three of whom needed the Intensive Care Unit.

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