Aaron Judge signing with Yankees or Giants? It could be a toss-up

Your guess is as good as mine. That’s pretty much where we are with Aaron Judge.

On Thursday, MLB Network’s Jon Morosi updated the latest free-agent rumors regarding the New York Yankees slugger.

“The Giants are a very realistic possibility,” Morosi said Thursday on MLB Network. “This is not a Yankees at 70% likelihood and the Giants at 30. I think that we are very close to 50/50, where if the Giants really step up and get that AAV up closer to $40 million a year, there’s a legitimate chance that Aaron Judge becomes a San Francisco Giant.”

On Wednesday, ESPN’S Jeff Passan reported on the details of the Yankees’ most recent offer to Judge, who rejected a seven-year, $213.5 million contract before Opening Day, then had a walk season for the ages, setting a new American League record with 62 home runs while contending for the Triple Crown, earning AL MVP honors for his effort.

The New York Yankees, whose chief desire this offseason is to retain Judge, have an offer on the table in the neighborhood of eight years and $300 million and could increase it, depending on how far the San Francisco Giants — the other top suitor — are willing to push the market.

Eight years and $300 million averages out to $37.5 million per year, which would make Judge the highest-paid position player based on average annual value. New York Mets ace Max Scherzer is the highest-paid player overall at $43.3 million per year, thanks to his three-year, $130 million contract.

Judge made a free-agent visit last week to the Giants. San Francisco was the first team, other than the Yankees, to sit down with Judge, who hit the open market after the World Series.

Last month at the GM Meetings in Las Vegas, Giants president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi said ownership has given him “no explicit ceiling” on how much he can spend this winter.

“I think from a financial standpoint there’s nobody that would be out of our capability,” Zaidi said. “And then it’ll just be a question of whether there’s mutual interest and how we put together the best possible team.”

Bob Klapisch reported Wednesday: A decision is coming “very soon” in the words of one club elder, coinciding with next week’s Winter Meetings in San Diego. “I don’t think Aaron will let this drag on.”