The Week (US)

What happened to pay raises?

- Daniel Gross

Slate.com

U.S. companies “have literally forgotten” how to compete for employees, said Daniel Gross. The demand for workers is so high right now that airlines have canceled flights, homebuilde­rs have slowed down constructi­on, and farmers fret that crops will go unharveste­d—all for lack of qualified hands. There are currently 5.7 million job openings in the U.S., twice the level of eight years ago, and the unemployme­nt rate is a very low 4.4 percent. “Given these conditions, wages should be rising sharply.” Yet pay has barely budged for most Americans. Employers don’t appear willing to increase wages to attract candidates, and employees “either won’t or can’t demand more.” The reason for this puzzling state of affairs “may be

psychologi­cal”—the pain of the financial crisis is still fresh in our minds. Just as the Great Depression left scars that “influenced consumer and investor behavior for decades,” the financial crisis and subsequent recession “inflicted similarly deep wounds.” Businesses went into “survival mode,” laying off workers and cutting back benefits for those they kept. Years later, that mentality has “hardened into something like a permanent mindset” and is baked into business models and projection­s. Meanwhile, workers traumatize­d by layoffs, foreclosur­es, and pulverized savings learned to take any job they could get and “hold on to it for dear life.” The result is a “mutually reinforcin­g feedback loop” that leaves both sides dissatisfi­ed.

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