Times-Herald

Climate change made 2020 hurricanes rainier

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Climate change made the record-smashing deadly 2020 Atlantic hurricane season noticeably wetter, a new study says. And it will likely make this season rainier, too, scientists said.

Human-caused climate change made the entire season – 30 named storms – drop 5% more rain. During the 14 storms that reached hurricane status the rainfall was 8% heavier, according to the study in Tuesday's Nature Communicat­ions.

"It doesn't sound like a lot, but if you're near a threshold, a little bit can push you over the top," said Lawrence Berkeley National Lab climate scientist Michael Wehner, co-author of the paper. "The implicatio­n is that that means there was more freshwater flooding and that the damages from freshwater flooding were increased, but by how much would require a more detailed analysis."

While past studies have predicted climate change would make storms wetter and found individual storms, such as 2017's Harvey, were in fact wetter because of human-caused climate change, this is the first study to look at an entire season, Wehner said. That's important because it removes the selection bias of just picking the worst storms, such as Harvey.

"It's not just the big monster ones, it's a whole season," Wehner said.

It's likely 2020 is not the only year made significan­tly rainier by climate change. Warming is probably increasing the downpours in nearly all storms and most hurricane seasons, including the one that starts June 1, said study lead author Kevin Reed, an atmospheri­c scientist at

Stony Brook University.

And what a season 2020 was. It broke records not only for the number of named storms, but for the number that became major storms with winds of at least 111 miles per hour -- seven -- and the number that made landfall in the United States. Louisiana got hit five times. Overall, more than 330 people were killed directly by named storms in 2020 and damage soared past $41 billion, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion.

Hurricanes Laura, Sally, Isaias, Zeta, Delta, Eta and Hanna all caused more than $1 billion in damage, much of it from flooding. Laura, for example, was 10% wetter than it would have been without climate change, a separate quick analysis shows, Reed said.

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