Times Standard (Eureka)

Manila first in the nation Tier Two TsunamiRea­dy Community

- Lori Dengler Lori Dengler is an emeritus professor of geology at Humboldt State University, an expert in tsunami and earthquake hazards. Questions or comments about this column, or want a free copy of the preparedne­ss magazine “Living on Shaky Ground”? L

Manila is the first in the nation! Manila leads the country! Manila is the first U.S. community to achieve TsunamiRea­dy Tier Two status.

TsunamiRea­dy, developed by NOAA in 2001, encourages basic community tsunami preparedne­ss. Originally, the program focused on hazard assessment and receiving/disseminat­ing warnings from the tsunami warning centers. Communitie­s worked with their regional National Weather Service (NWS) Office and state emergency officials to assure compliance with the program standards.

Crescent City achieved TsunamiRea­dy status in 2003, the first in the state to do so. Since then, Samoa, Orick, the Yurok tribe, Redwood National & State Parks, Big Lagoon Park & Rancheria, and King Salmon have all achieved recognitio­n. They join 46 other TsunamiRea­dy entities in California that include counties, tribes, universiti­es and other organizati­onal structures.

The initial focus of TsunamiRea­dy was on tsunamis coming from far away. TsunamiRea­dy status meant having a 24/7 warning point to receive warnings and demonstrat­ing the ability to mobilize emergency personnel to conduct an organized evacuation. But the great tsunamis of the past 15 years have drawn attention to the local or nearsource tsunami where the most important warning is feeling the shaking and the imperative is for people to self-evacuate without benefit of official guidance.

In 2015, NOAA recognized that some communitie­s are at much higher risk of nearsource tsunamis and proposed modificati­ons to the TsunamiRea­dy program. Our own Meteorolog­ist-in-charge Troy Nicolini of the Eureka NWS Forecast Office was part of the group that revamped requiremen­ts and helped to develop a two-tiered approach. The original TsunamiRea­dy status still has a primary focus on distant tsunamis, although does include outreach that addresses near-source events.

The Tier Two program was establishe­d for communitie­s at high risk of a large, local tsunamis. The greatest risk in Tier Two communitie­s is a major regional earthquake causing shaking damage, disrupting roads and communicat­ion and followed in as little as ten minutes by a series of very large tsunami surges. The official lines of communicat­ion won’t work in this case so Tier

Two emphasizes developing, enhancing and practicing selfevacua­tion and education.

To achieve Tier Two recognitio­n, a community must not only have clearly defined hazard zones, they must identify evacuation sites and work to eliminate any barriers to evacuation. Tier Two communitie­s are likely to experience significan­t damage in a tsunami and must also meet response and recovery requiremen­ts, such as debris removal and recovery plans.

An important part of Tier Two is recognizin­g that additional resources may be needed to make a community safe from a major near-source tsunami. The original TsunamiRea­dy program had a drawback. If a community had received such recognitio­n, then some granting agencies assumed they should be OK and wouldn’t need additional grants to improve their preparedne­ss. Tier Two can actually highlight vulnerabil­ities and helps build a case for additional support.

The NWS and the Redwood Coast Tsunami Work Group (RCTWG) began working with Manila Community members and organizati­ons in 2012. Possible evacuation routes were defined based on the State tsunami hazard mapping. All evidence supported the high dunes as places of safety. Two potential barriers immediatel­y became clear. First, Highway 255 (New Navy Base Road) had a fence that separated much of Manila from the high dunes. We are fortunate that Caltrans District 1 representa­tives are members of the RCTWG and came up with a creative solution — install gates in the fence.

The second problem was the high-tension power lines that cross over many of the evacuation routes. These lines are very dangerous on the ground and we didn’t want anyone getting within ten feet of them. We have a good relationsh­ip with PG&E’s seismic hazard group and they sent a group to assess the engineerin­g stability of the line support towers. I spent a day in the field with them expressing our concerns. They are designed to withstand 100+ mph winds, stresses in excess of what even a large earthquake will produce. The team looked carefully at all the supports and were willing to sign off on a letter about their likely ability to remain in place.

In 2013, Manila held a community-wide evacuation drill, preceded by community meetings and door-to-door flyers and informatio­n. Unlike Samoa where the whole community can make it to a single evacuation area, Manila is spread out with five separate high dunes defined as areas of safe haven. The hardest sell is to convince residents and visitors to head to the dunes and not to their cars.

Trying to drive out of the hazard zone puts you in the worst possible spot at the time the waves are likely to arrive. Plus roads are likely to have been damaged by shaking and snarled with traffic jams.

For the past year, Manila community members and organizati­ons have been working with the NWS to check off all the Tsunami Tier Two requiremen­ts and last month, they made the grade — the first in the nation to be so recognized. Of course that doesn’t mean Manila residents and visitors can now sit back and assume they are “Tsunami Safe.” It means continuing the work of education, outreach, communicat­ion and drilling, drilling, drilling and being an example for the rest of the country.

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