USA TODAY International Edition
Another fault line lurks in S. Calif.
Southern California could be in for some serious shaking.
Scientists uncovered a fault line that could unleash a magnitude- 7.4 earthquake in the region, which other researchers say is long overdue for a whopper of a temblor along the infamous San Andreas fault.
The two events are detailed in separate studies that put the quake risks of the USA’s most populous state into much sharper focus.
The newly identified fault line is capable of a powerful quake that would affect 20 million residents of Los Angeles and San Diego, according to a study published Tuesday. The fault runs underwater from San Diego Bay to Seal Beach in Orange County and on land through the Los Angeles basin, researchers found.
In the meantime, areas north of Los Angeles may be long overdue for a whopper of a quake along a portion of the infamous San Andreas fault, according to a second study from the U. S. Geological Survey. Over the past 1,200 years, large earthquakes occurred there about every 100 years.
The last big one there was a magnitude of 7.7 to 7.9 in 1857. At that time, the population of the entire state of California was less than 100,000 people. Today, it’s 37 million. Most of the prehistoric quakes “appear to be quite large,” between magnitude- 7.0 and magnitude- 7.5, said study lead author Kate Scharer of the USGS.
The land on each side of the fault has been pushing against the other at a rate of over 1 inch per year since 1857, the researchers told the Los Angeles Times. This is causing accumulating energy that will be released in a major earthquake, when the land along the fault would move by many feet.
In the first study, the fault line is mostly offshore but never more than four miles from the San Diego, Orange County, and Los Angeles County coast, said study lead author Valerie Sahakian, formerly of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and now with the U. S. Geological Survey.
Even a high magnitude- 5 to a low magnitude- 6 quake “can still have a major impact on those regions, which are some of the most densely populated in California,” she said.
The fault, officially known as the Newport- Inglewood/ Rose Canyon fault zone, caused a 6.4- magnitude quake in Long Beach, Calif., that killed 115 people in 1933. About 3 million people lived in the entire Los Angeles metro area at that time. Today, it’s 13 million.
The Newport- Inglewood and Rose Canyon faults were considered separate systems but the study found they are actually one continuous fault system.
Both studies appeared in the American Geophysical Union’s Journal of Geophysical Research.