USA TODAY International Edition
TRUMP’S TRIP WILL TEST ALL OUR NERVES
He gave the Russians sensitive info. Next stop on the presidential improv tour: Middle East
Atrip to Saudi Arabia, Israel, the Vatican and a NATO conference would present challenges for even the most disciplined and diplomatic president, words not normally associated with Donald Trump. Is there reason for concern?
The short answer is “yes” — unless the president stops his freelancing and sticks to a script.
Trump either had no script or went way off it in his meeting last week with the Russian foreign minister and ambassador, at which he revealed details of a terrorism- related threat uncovered by an extraordinarily sensitive intelligence operation. The disclosure could jeopardize U. S. security by tipping off enemies and leaving allies less willing to share sensitive material. And, according to national security adviser H. R. McMaster, “He made the decision in the context of the conversation.”
A recent story on the front page of The New York Times described aides to Trump as stunned and “slack- jawed” upon learning he had not just telephoned Rodrigo Duterte, the highly controversial president of the Philippines, but also invited him to the White House. This announcement triggered considerable criticism given Duterte’s record of human rights abuses and anti- American statements.
MISGUIDED INVITATION
What had transpired was simple: Trump was, once again, freelancing. Presidents obviously have the authority to freelance. But there are risks associated with any president going off on his own without the involvement of advisers. This is especially true in the case of someone such as Trump, who entered the Oval Office with no government experience and little familiarity with the issues.
In the Philippines case, the invitation was premature at best. A chance to come to the White House and meet with the American president is a big deal. A meeting with the likes of Duterte could lead to changes in his policy, but such a meeting should be offered only when such changes are all but guaranteed.
Here, the offer of a meeting signaled something very different: You can criticize the United States and move closer to China and not only pay no price, you can reap a benefit.
Social media poses an additional problem. As Trump recently said, “Social media is the way to go. I have got over 100 million people watching.” Clearly, Twitter allows him to reach people in the USA and around the world without the often critical filter of the news media. But the “send” button can be all too easy to press; Trump is paying a price for his tweets, including a series undercutting his advisers’ assertions that he hadn’t disclosed sensitive intelligence to the Russians.
By definition, freelancing avoids formal procedures for making policy. But process has its purposes. Meetings and memoranda can make sure relevant history and analysis are brought to bear, trade- offs weighed, and the consequences for resources ( from dollars to hours) considered. Such deliberation decreases chances that actions or statements will be ill- advised or lead to unwelcome results. Indeed, this was a principal reason the National Security Council process was established in 1947.
DANGEROUS PITFALLS
Most meetings are planned for well in advance. One hopes this will be the case on Trump’s overseas trip next week, his first since moving into the Oval Office. It is one filled with pitfalls.
Trump is giving a major speech on Islam in Saudi Arabia, whose leaders are looking for American backing against arch- enemy Iran. The president needs to reassure them without either getting the U. S. more involved in a potential quagmire in Yemen or walking away from a controversial agreement that for now constrains Iran’s nuclear program.
Israel, too, is looking for reassurance. Leaders there likely will pressure the president on reports that he will delay acting on his promise to move the U. S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem — a move that could trigger violence and set back what little chance exists for Israel- Palestinian reconciliation.
Avoiding a clash with a pope who is revered but with whom Trump often disagrees will not be easy. Even more difficult could be talks with NATO allies on edge about a president who has questioned the value of NATO and revealed secrets to a Russian government that has used armed force to alter the map of Europe.
Sometimes, what is done spontaneously and regretted can be walked back. But often, there is a price to be paid for freelancing. Security once compromised cannot be fully restored. The same holds for a reputation, be it of an individual or a country. The temptation to freelance, like most temptations, ought to be resisted.