USA TODAY International Edition
Record 3.3 million file unemployment claims
Economist concerned that ‘ layoffs are just starting’
Layoffs are skyrocketing to unprecedented levels as the coronavirus upends the U. S. economy.
The number of Americans filing initial applications for unemployment benefits jumped nearly twelvefold to a record 3.28 million last week, the Labor Department said Thursday, offering the most vivid evidence yet of the pandemic’s widespread damage to the economy.
The total was well above the 1.5 million claims economists forecast, according to the median estimate of those surveyed by Bloomberg. Workers file claims for unemployment benefits when they lose their jobs.
“A definite and unmistakable sign the United States has entered a recession,” Bank of the West Chief Economist Scott Anderson wrote in a note to clients.
The pandemic has set off the most abrupt near- shutdown of the economy in history. Many restaurants, shops, movie theaters, sports arenas and other gathering spots across the country suddenly closed their doors or scaled back service
“Definite and unmistakable sign the United States has entered a recession.” Scott Anderson
Chief economist, Bank of the West
last week to contain the spread of the virus.
Numbers are staggering
Layoffs continued in accommodation and food services, Labor said. Other industries hit hard included health care and social assistance, arts, entertainment and recreation, transportation and warehousing and manufacturing.
Darren McKeon of Colorado Springs, Colorado, said he lost his job as the fundraising manager for Student Pilots, a nonprofit company that helps student pilots get funding to fly aircraft.
He said the company shut down after nonessential workers were ordered to stay home.
“It’s going to be a rocky start to be able to help people further their careers ( as pilots),” said McKeon, 24. “The aviation industry was booming, but it’s obviously not now.”
To put the economy’s reversal in perspective, the 211,000 claims filed the week ending March 7 were near a halfcentury low.
Last week’s total is several times larger than the previous record tally of 695,000 unemployment insurance claims in October 1982. It also far surpasses the count of 517,000 two weeks after the 9/ 11 terrorist attacks, and 570,000 during the depths of the financial crisis in December 2008, Morgan Stanley said.
Jobless claims rose by 343,000 in Pennsylvania, 180,000 in Ohio, 146,000 in New Jersey, 140,000 in Massachusetts, 139,000 in Texas, 129,000 in California and 119,000 in Washington.
Tens of thousands furloughed
The concern is that “layoffs are just starting,” says economist Kathy Bostjancic of Oxford Economics.
Restaurants, hotels and transportation companies have been particularly hard hit as eateries are shuttered or restricted to takeout or pickup orders only, and Americans forgo travel.
McMenamins, which operates brewpubs and hotels in the Northwest, is laying off 3,000 workers.
Rusty Bucket Restaurant and Tavern filed notice that it would lay off 975 workers in five states, including Indiana and Ohio, where the coronavirus or a disaster declaration was specifically noted as a reason for the cuts.
“The devastating impacts rippling through the restaurant community due to this situation cannot be overstated,” president Gary Callicoat said.
Embassy Suites said it would cut 120 jobs in Arizona and Ohio. The virus outbreak was listed as a cause.
Hilton said its hotels and franchise owners are taking steps such as scheduling shorter workweeks and having employees take personal time off. Furloughs are occurring on a wide scale.
“Tens of thousands … have been furloughed” in the USA, the company said. This week, Hilton began an initiative to help those employees find temporary work with companies such as Amazon, Walgreens and Albertsons that ramped up hiring to meet the demand for coronavirus- related supplies.
After oil prices crashed amid plummeting global demand, Halliburton, the oilfield services giant, announced Wednesday it would start a mandatory furlough for 3,500 employees. The furlough, which will start Monday, will last up to 60 days and “best position our company in the current environment,” Halliburton said in a statement provided to USA TODAY.
Living ‘ shift to shift’
Casey Sexton of Middleton, New Hampshire, said he lost his job as a restaurant server March 17, the day after Gov. Chris Sununu ordered the closing of restaurants and bars.
Sexton, 34, said he called creditors to let them know he will be unable to pay any of his bills.
“You hear people say they live paycheck to paycheck,” he said. “I lived shift to shift. I relied on every single tip.
“I’m very concerned about how I am going to come out of all this when it ends. I’m not sure if that means I’m going to have to file for bankruptcy.”
Some economists said the largest single wave of layoffs probably occurred last week as about half the states ordered the shutdown of restaurants and bars and scores of other businesses.
“We would likely expect there not to be nearly as many layoffs” in subsequent reports, Barclays economist Jonathan Millar said.
Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics said claims “will drop over the next few weeks” but remain highly elevated as more businesses cut jobs. He noted that some states were overwhelmed by applications for benefits last week, and many didn’t go through, pushing them into the following week.
In California, among the states experiencing such bottlenecks, Gov. Gavin Newsom said the state got 1 million applications in less than two weeks. Thursday, it reported just 186,000 claims for last week, signaling hundreds of thousands still to come.
Unemployment of 10%?
The outbreak could trigger about 7.5 million layoffs, largely in the second quarter, as the 3.5% unemployment rate, a 50- year low, climbs above 10%, estimated Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics.
Oxford Economics said it foresees 15 million to 20 million job losses in coming weeks.
Forecasts for last week’s claims varied sharply, from about 1 million to upward of 4 million, because many states released partial- week reports to media outlets, leading economists to extrapolate weekly tallies for all the states.
Such state reports previewing the figures may not continue. In a letter, the Labor Department asked the states to no longer report their totals until Labor released its national figure Thursday.
In a statement to USA TODAY, Labor said: “The public must be able to trust in the accuracy, integrity and completeness of the data being reported. Premature release of partial data may give the public an inaccurate picture.”