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Ex- CIA analyst: How to spot fake news

Real people are the key to solving this problem

- Cindy L. Otis Cindy L. Otis, a disinforma­tion expert and former CIA analyst, is vice president of analysis at Alethea Group and a senior nonresiden­t fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab. Her new book, “True or False: A CIA Analy

In early 2017, I watched from my desk at the CIA as the world learned Russia had waged an influence campaign targeting the U. S. presidenti­al election months before. I was an intelligen­ce analyst working in a world where countries often used covert action against each other to influence events, outcomes and policies, but the scale and scope of Russia’s actions to try to help Donald Trump get elected were unpreceden­ted. As the intelligen­ce community’s declassified assessment stated, Russia’s interferen­ce was “a significant escalation” in its long- running effort to undermine America.

Since then, I have seen this revelation lead to panic, but essentiall­y no government action. The panic has manifested in a growing distrust of institutio­ns like the news media that we traditiona­lly counted on for informatio­n, fear that social media conversati­ons are orchestrat­ed by “Russian bots,” the mainstream­ing of conspiracy theories, and in extreme cases, people giving up on the existence of facts and truth altogether. But none of these things will solve our informatio­n problem.

As I write in my new book, “True or False: A CIA Analyst’s Guide to Spotting Fake News,” I was trained to comb through massive amounts of informatio­n and root out fact from fiction to keep policymake­rs informed. The techniques included investigat­ing informatio­n sources, checking my own emotions, examining my personal biases, and researchin­g informatio­n before jumping to conclusion­s.

When I left federal service in mid- 2017 to hunt disinforma­tion from the private sector, I realized this kind of critical thinking was what people needed to employ against their own informatio­n streams.

With a global pandemic and worldwide protests against police violence, we are living in a time so rampant with false informatio­n, rumors and hoaxes that we disinforma­tion experts call this period an “infodemic.” Emotions and stress are at an all- time high, so it is more important than ever to make sure you are not spreading false informatio­n. Based on my experience, here are some tips on how to assess a few recent examples of questionab­le “facts”:

❚ At the start of lockdowns in March, rumors were spreading on social media and through peer- to- peer messaging apps that the federal government was about to announce a nationwide, military- enforced lockdown. When a Twitter user posted a video of a train transporti­ng military equipment, saying, “Tanks have arrived in # SanDiego,” implying it had started, the video went viral. In 24 hours, it had more than 2 million views.

This was an actual video of a real thing taken by a real person, but the context was wrong. It’s important to take the time to put aside any emotional reaction to the content and do a quick internet search for additional informatio­n. This would reveal that military equipment is transporte­d by rail across the country regularly, including through San Diego. Also, about as regularly, people have long used videos of train transports to claim military invasions are underway to cause panic.

❚ In June, amid protests against police violence, claims spread across small towns that supposed violent protesters and members of far- left militant antifa were on the way to riot and loot. In one such claim that went viral, a person tweeted, “6000 rioters and looters are on a bus to Notre Dame Indiana.” Investigat­ing the source of the alleged informatio­n would have revealed that this person runs an anti- science health website and was probably not a credible source.

Also, the tweet should have elicited a number of questions, such as: Logistical­ly, how would 6,000 people fit on one bus? If they were on separate buses, why was there no evidence of Indiana highways overrun with the number of buses it would take to transport that many people? And why would supposed rioters even go to a small town like that in the first place?

❚ This month, an anonymous QAnon conspiracy theorist claimed on Reddit that the furniture and home décor company Wayfair was kidnapping children and selling them to sexual predators under listings for overpriced cabinets and pillows. The claim went viral across social media platforms, and when Wayfair removed the items, it only fanned the conspiracy flames. It turned out a software glitch on the website caused these items to be listed for $ 10,000 or more.

Beyond a healthy dose of skepticism about claims by an anonymous social media account one cannot verify, it would help to research the conspiracy theory group at the helm of this charge. It would reveal that the group regularly makes claims of child sex trafficking and charges celebritie­s, politician­s and companies with alleged involvemen­t, but has never found actual victims.

The fact is, the vast majority of false content circulatin­g online is from real people not knowing what they’re sharing is false. This is why people must be a massive part of the solution to our informatio­n problem.

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Cindy L. Otis

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