USA TODAY Sports Weekly

Expect offense in matchup of 0-3 clubs

- Nathan Beighle

Top wagering picks for NFL Week 4 based on lines from BetMGM:

Falcons at Jaguars

The Jaguars were throttled at home by the previously winless Texans in Week 3. C.J. Stroud was 20 of 30 for 280 yards and 2 touchdown passes. He may be the real deal, but Desmond Ridder may not be despite a 2-1 start for the Falcons. Ridder was 21 of 38 against the Lions for 201 yards. Bijan Robinson got just 10 carries and turned them into 33 yards. Despite this game in London, overseas should feel like home for the Jags as they’ve played there each of the last nine seasons. The Jags are led by Trevor Lawrence, one of the best young quarterbac­ks in the NFL. Expect them to have a better showing in London and cover in Week 4.

Back the JAGUARS (-3).

Broncos at Bears

From the neutral viewer, this will be one of the most boring Week 4 matchups as both teams have struggled heavily. Chicago lost 41-10 to Kansas City in Week 3 with the Broncos losing 70-20 to Miami. Each team has a defense that is far from competent. Both teams have quarterbac­ks in Justin Fields (Bears) and Russell Wilson (Broncos) who are competent, though, and against lacking defenses, they should be able to get going in Week 4. This should be a popular Under game for bettors with how weak each side has looked. The Bears are 3-0 O/U this season with Denver 2-1 O/U. The defenses just won’t be able to keep up as both teams have offenses that came into the season with high expectatio­ns. Expect the hole-filled defenses to get lit up and back the OVER (45.5).

Dolphins at Bills

Miami, which put up 70 points is Week 3, looks better than it was last season. That team went to Buffalo and lost 32-29 despite taking a lead into the fourth quarter. The Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 at home, though. Josh Allen and the Bills are a popular bet, especially at home, and coming off a 37-3 win over Washington, it would make sense to ride their train, having won their last two games by 28 or more points. However, Buffalo was just 3-6 ATS at home last season. It hasn’t rewarded bettors at home often, and in a big-time game like this one, all the money will likely come in on Allen. In betting, taking the opposite of the public is typically wise. Considerin­g their start to the season, back the DOLPHINS (+2.5).

 ?? MELINA MYERS/USA TODAY SPORTS ?? Trevor Lawrence, shown in Week 3, and the Jaguars lost to the Broncos in London last season but are primed to win this year.
MELINA MYERS/USA TODAY SPORTS Trevor Lawrence, shown in Week 3, and the Jaguars lost to the Broncos in London last season but are primed to win this year.

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