Browns (7-3) at Broncos (5-5)

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Empower Field at Mile High, Denver TV: Fox

Spread (BetMGM):

Broncos by 2.5

Browns’ keys to victory: Cleveland needs QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson to protect the ball against a play-making Denver defense. The Broncos’ biggest weakness has been defending the run. Cleveland has a great onetwo punch with RBs Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt, and they will be asked to carry the load in order to take some pressure off Thompson-Robinson. On defense, stopping Denver’s rushing attack will be a priority for the Browns, who have one of the top run defenses in the AFC this season.

Broncos’ keys to victory: QB Russell Wilson hasn’t been flashy but he has been efficient. Wilson has been using his legs to make plays in recent weeks, both as a runner and as a passer when he escapes the pocket. Wilson will look to WR Courtland Sutton, his favorite target, against Cleveland’s stingy secondary. Much like the Browns, Denver will aim to establish a run-heavy attack with RB Javonte Williams leading the way. The Broncos will want to build a lead early so their defense can pressure Thompson-Robinson into making mistakes in catch-up mode.

Matchup to watch: Browns DE Myles Garrett vs. Broncos RT Mike McGlinchey. Garrett has been a wrecking ball on Cleveland’s defensive line. He’ll face off against McGlinchey, who has arguably been Denver’s weakest link on the offensive line in 2023.

Who wins? The Browns have a stifling defense and ThompsonRobinson did enough to beat Pittsburgh, but Denver will be the favorite at home.

Broncos, 20-13