Dolphins (11-4) at Ravens (12-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
TV: CBS
Spread (FanDuel): Ravens by 3
Dolphins’ keys to victory: Miami needs to give QB Tua Tagovailoa enough time to exploit a matchup in the Ravens secondary against WRs Tyreek Hill and WR Jaylen Waddle. That effort starts with OL Liam Eichenberg’s ability to contain Ravens star DT Justin Madubuike. RB Raheem Mostert is among the league leaders in rushing yards and his breakaway speed and dual-threat skills will test the LB duo of Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen. DC Vic Fangio’s unit will rely on CBs Xavien Howard and Jalen Ramsey to contain the Ravens passing game, allowing DT Christian Wilkins and the Miami defensive front to zero in on QB Lamar Jackson.
Ravens’ keys to victory: OC Todd Monken will use RBs Gus Edwards and Justice Hill to soften up the Miami defense, allowing Jackson to work the middle and outside with throws to TE Isaiah Likely and WRs Odell Beckham Jr. and Zay Flowers. The Ravens are talented at cornerback and will look for Marlon Humphrey and Brandon Stephens to neutralize Hill and Waddle. FS Kyle Hamilton offers another dynamic weapon if he’s good to go after leaving the “MNF” game with a left knee injury. He’ll be vital in pressuring Tagovailoa from the slot.
Matchup to watch: Ravens CB Brandon Stephens vs. Dolphins’ Hill. Hill enters in the hunt for 2,000 yards receiving. Stephens had played at a Pro Bowl level, but he’s been beaten for a few big plays down the stretch.
Who wins? After a huge win over the 49ers, Baltimore could wrap up the No. 1 overall AFC seed.
Ravens, 34-28