Bears (7-9) at Packers (8-8)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

TV: CBS

Spread (BetMGM):

Packers by 3

Bears’ keys to victory: Run the football consistently and create turnovers. The Bears rushed for 250 yards in a win over the Cardinals and 192 yards in a win over the Falcons over the past two weeks. RB Khalil Herbert has back-toback 100-yard rushing games, and QB Justin Fields is always a threat to make plays with his legs. Dominating on the ground is a surefire way of attacking one of Green Bay’s biggest weaknesses. Defensively, taking the ball away has become the Bears’ trademark down the stretch. Winning on the road usually requires a turnover or two.

Packers’ keys to victory: Get one more brilliant performance from QB Jordan Love and disruption from the defensive front. Love has multiple TD passes, zero interceptions and a passer rating over 100 in six of the past seven games. The Packers need explosive plays from the passing game and for Love to produce in the red zone. The entire defensive plan has to be built around disrupting Fields in the pocket and forcing him into sacks and mistakes while not allowing him to break contain. The Packers defense is only as good as its defensive front. OLBs Rashan Gary, Preston Smith and Lukas Van Ness must be playmakers.

Matchup to watch: Bears WR DJ Moore vs. Packers CB Jaire Alexander. Moore has eight games with 100 receiving yards or a touchdown. He should see plenty of Alexander, who is coming off a one-game team suspension.

Who wins? The Packers were in this exact spot last year and wasted the opportunity.

Packers, 21-20