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Rahal looks for hometown win in Ohio

- Jim Ayello @jimayello USA TODAY Sports Ayello writes for The Indianapol­is Star, part of the USA TODAY Network.

The Verizon IndyCar Series heads to MidOhio Sports Car Course in Lexington, Ohio, to race in its 13th event of the season this weekend (Honda Indy 200, 3 p.m. ET Sunday, CNBC). Here are five story lines to watch this weekend before the series’ three-week hiatus.

Team Penske will look unbeatable again.

Penske’s power four have absolutely dominated on road courses this season, so the smart money is on one of them to take the checkered flag Sunday at Mid- Ohio.

While they have won two of the three road courses this season, their dominance has encompasse­d so much more than wins. They’ve run roughshod through the field in practice, often finishing 1-2-3-4 in those sessions before sweeping the poles (two for Will Power and one for Helio Castroneve­s). And of the nine podium positions available at those three races, Penske has occupied five of them. Of the 15 top-five positions available, they’ve claimed nine.

Josef Newgarden can make the case as the top contender, as he picked up the victory at Barber Motorsport­s Park before narrowly missing out at Road America. Of course, a flat tire robbed Power of the Barber win, while Castroneve­s and Simon Pagenaud have finished in the top five at every road course.

Ohio native Graham Rahal is going to make his home fans proud.

Like James Hinchcliff­e two weeks ago in Toronto, Rahal is heading home, and he, too, has a good shot at winding up atop the podium.

Rahal has been on fire since the end of May. After the Indianapol­is 500, the 28-year-old Columbus native has two wins (Detroit doublehead­er) and two more top-five finishes (Texas, Iowa). In fact, his worst finish since the 500 was an unlucky ninth at Toronto, where he easily possessed a top-three car but was caught out by a caution.

Rahal also is a 2015 winner at Mid- Ohio and has produced three consecutiv­e top-five finishes on its road course.

“It’s always great to go back to Mid- Ohio,” Rahal said recently. “I have a lot of fond memories and have had a lot of great days there. Obviously, winning there in 2015 really highlighte­d my career. I’m excited to get back and hopefully see a great crowd once again.”

At 64 points behind leader Scott Dixon, Rahal is teetering on the edge of championsh­ip contention. A win would be big for his title hopes, but he’ll also need a few of the five drivers in front of him to endure some bad luck to keep his hopes alive.

Dixon gets his groove back.

After a rough run at Iowa, Dixon looked poised to rebound in Toronto after qualifying fifth. But a first-lap collision with Power derailed any hopes of a bounce-back as he posted just his second finish outside the top nine (the other was the Indianapol­is 500, where he ran into a wrecking Jay Howard).

The recent slips have allowed Team Penske to close in on his championsh­ip lead, as Castroneve­s trails by three points, Page- naud is 19 back and Newgarden is 23 behind.

But if there’s one place that should give Dixon hope of a rebound, it’s Mid- Ohio. Since IndyCar returned to the road course in 2007, Dixon has won half of the 10 races there, so he enters the weekend an even bigger favorite than usual. However, the Chip Ganassi Racing star hasn’t driven down victory lane at Mid- Ohio since 2014, so he’ll need to rediscover his winning ways if he hopes to open up a bigger gap on the other championsh­ip contenders.

The 2018 season picture gets clearer.

It seems like the only certainty heading into the 2018 IndyCar season is what the cars will look like. Beyond that, everything ’s up in the air.

Among questions facing the paddock: Is Andretti Autosport heading to Chevrolet? If so, where does that leave Honda-sponsored reigning Indianapol­is 500 winner Takuma Sato? Are we watching the last IndyCar races in the illustriou­s careers of Tony Kanaan and Castroneve­s? Will Team Penske, CGR or Andretti trim their fleets from four cars to three? Will the biggest fish on the free agent market — 30-year-old Hinchcliff­e — be lured from Schmidt Peterson Motorsport­s? Is a three-car team in Dale Coyne’s future? Will A.J. Foyt Racing make wholesale changes again? What does Mikhail Aleshin’s future hold after sitting out the race in Toronto?

There are so many questions and very few answers, but that changes this weekend. While we certainly won’t learn everything, expect the 2018 picture to become a little clearer.

Familiar face in victory lane.

While Dixon, Rahal and a few other Honda-powered drivers (think Hinchcliff­e and Alexander Rossi) will make things interestin­g, this is Penske’s race to win. The Chevrolet-powered drivers uncharacte­ristically let a victory slip through their fingers at Road America, and they’ll be determined not to let that happen again.

No reigning race winner has successful­ly defended his turf this season, but Pagenaud puts an end to that streak this weekend. He, along with Rahal and Castroneve­s, had cars to win at Toronto, and he’ll have the same at MidOhio. Barring more bad luck, look for Pagenaud to join Rahal, Power and Newgarden as the only twotime winners this season.

 ?? DAN HAMILTON, USA TODAY SPORTS ?? Two-race winner Graham Rahal is coming off a ninth-place finish in Toronto on July 16.
DAN HAMILTON, USA TODAY SPORTS Two-race winner Graham Rahal is coming off a ninth-place finish in Toronto on July 16.

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