USA TODAY US Edition

Is 10% stock drop a good time to buy?

- Adam Shell

When it comes to stock market “correction­s,” or 10%-plus drops, some are more sinister and financiall­y debilitati­ng than others.

Stock downturns that occur due to recessions are the nastiest of all, with average drops of 25.3%, according to Strategas Securities’ analysis of 21 correction­s since 1990. Double-digit percentage declines that occur amid an ongoing bear market — or longer-term stock downtrend — are also tough on investor account balances.

The good news is that correction­s that occur during periods when the economy is not contractin­g and stocks are not in bear-market territory — like the current swoon that knocked the S&P

500 stock index down 10.2% from its January peak — result in smaller market declines and bigger rebounds. The average market declines are 14.2%.

More important for investors wondering if they should buy stocks after the big dip is that the large-company stock index is up 16.5% three months after the end of these non-recession driven correction­s. That compares with smaller rebounds of 10.9% during recessions and 13.8% for all correction periods, Strategas says.

This historical data suggests the recent carnage in the U.S. market could prove to be an opportunit­y to snap up stocks at cheaper prices, according to analysts at Strategas. “Most market correction­s,” the analysts concluded, “prove to be (good) entry points.”

The problem: It’s still unclear if the correction is over, despite the market’s

5% rebound the past five sessions. True bottoms are only known in hindsight.

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