Yuma Sun

Biden shores up Western allies as Putin digs in on Ukraine with China visit


WARSAW, Poland – President Joe Biden closed out his wartime visit to Europe on Wednesday, working to shore up partnershi­ps with allies on NATO’S perilous eastern flank – even as Russia’s Vladimir Putin was drawing closer to China for help as his invasion of Ukraine neared the oneyear mark.

Biden’s meeting with leaders of the Bucharest Nine nations in Warsaw came at the conclusion of a whirlwind, four-day visit to Ukraine and Poland meant to reassure allies that U.S. support in fending off Russia isn’t at risk of waning.

In dramatic counterpoi­nt, Putin on Wednesday played host in Moscow to Wang Yi, the Chinese Communist Party’s most senior foreign policy official, as U.S. intelligen­ce warned that Beijing is considerin­g supplying arms and ammunition to the worn-down Russian military.

The flexing of alliances was a fresh indication that both sides are digging in for prolonged conflict in Ukraine with the fighting expected to intensify with the arrival of spring.

Biden’s trip had provided yet another moment of telling counterpro­gramming on Tuesday when he delivered a ringing speech on Western unity in Warsaw, a day after he swept into Kyiv unannounce­d for a visit with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. As Biden spoke in Poland, Putin announced that Russia was suspending its participat­ion in the last remaining U.s.-russia nuclear arms control treaty.

Biden called that departure “a big mistake.” The exit is expected to have an immediate impact on U.S. awareness of Russian nuclear activities. However, the pact – known as New START – was already on life support following Moscow’s cancellati­on late last year of talks that had been intended to salvage an agreement that each side has accused the other of violating.

Biden met Wednesday with leaders of the Bucharest Nine, the nations in the easternmos­t parts of the NATO alliance that came together in response to Putin’s 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine. They include Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Slovakia.

“You’re the frontlines of our collective defense,” Biden told them. “And you know, better than anyone, what’s at stake in this conflict. Not just for Ukraine, but for the freedom of democracie­s throughout Europe and around the world.”

These countries have worried that Putin could move to take military action against them next if he’s successful in Ukraine. Biden responded to that anxiety by pledging that NATO’S mutual defense pact is “sacred” and that “we will defend literally every inch of NATO.”

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenber­g, who attended the meeting, pointed to past Russian actions in Georgia and Ukraine and said, “We cannot allow Russia to continue to chip away at European security. We must break the cycle of Russian aggression.”

It was unclear how the U.S. and its allies aimed to do that, other than by continuing to arm Ukraine’s military with the Western and aging Soviet arms that have allowed it retake about half of the territory it lost in the opening days of the war.

Biden returned to Washington late Wednesday night.

After the Russian military’s battlefiel­d shortcomin­gs were revealed at the start of the conflict, Putin, too, has been seeking rearmament, drawing on Iran and North Korea for assistance – and potentiall­y China.

Administra­tion officials don’t yet have an indication that China has decided to move forward on sending Moscow weaponry, but Secretary of State Antony Blinken said this week it would be a “serious problem” should Beijing follow through.

Throughout the conflict, China has cautiously weighed the pros and cons of directly aiding Russia. But a year into the war, Beijing now seems increasing­ly concerned that Russia – one of its closest allies – is teetering toward something that could approximat­e a loss in Ukraine.

The U.S. and its allies have threatened secondary sanctions on countries that support the Russian war effort. But there was no consensus this week on potentiall­y steeper sanctions for China, which could have global economic implicatio­ns, should it decide to rearm Putin’s forces.

One European official described the intelligen­ce regarding Chinese considerat­ion of supplying Russia with weapons as “unambiguou­s.” Western officials do not know whether the possibilit­y is currently being studied only by China’s military or some other single branch of the government, or by the Chinese government as a whole, the official said. The official spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the West’s intelligen­ce on the matter.

Western intelligen­ce indicates that the kind of supplies China is considerin­g giving Russia would be aimed at backfillin­g stocks of weapons that Russia was losing, or wasting, on the battlefiel­d in Ukraine, the European official said.

From the intelligen­ce signals thus far, Western officials don’t believe China’s supply of weapons to Russia would be sufficient to change the trajectory of the year-old war.

But Chinese cooperatio­n on military supplies for Russia’s war in Ukraine would be a significan­t sign of Beijing’s current appetite for risk-taking when it comes to allying with Russia in a stand against the West.

Li Mingjiang, an associate professor in internatio­nal relations at Nanyang Technologi­cal University in Singapore, said at an event hosted by the Carnegie Endowment for Internatio­nal Peace last week that Beijing was weighing the value of creating “a situation in which the U.S. will have to now deal with really two potential enemies and challenger­s and that will help divert a bit of America’s attention and resources from the Asia Pacific region.”

 ?? EVAN VUCCI/AP ?? PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN SPEAKS DURING A MEETING with the leaders of the Bucharest Nine, a group of nine countries that make up the eastern flank of NATO on Wednesday in Warsaw.
EVAN VUCCI/AP PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN SPEAKS DURING A MEETING with the leaders of the Bucharest Nine, a group of nine countries that make up the eastern flank of NATO on Wednesday in Warsaw.

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