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Sea level rising quicker than forecast

New research puts New Zealand's two largest cities at risk earlier than expected

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The sea level is rising twice as fast as previously forecast around parts of New Zealand, according to research published on Monday, putting the country's two largest cities at risk decades earlier than expected.

Government-backed data amassed from around the country's coastline found some areas are already sinking three to four millimetre­s per year, speeding up a long-expected threat.

The projection­s, labelled "a bit terrifying" by one expert, are the result of an extensive five-year, Government-funded research programme -- NZ Searise -- that was the combined work of dozens of local and internatio­nal scientists.

Their prognosis means authoritie­s have much less time than expected to introduce climate adaptation plans, including relocating coastal communitie­s.

NZ Searise co-leader Tim Naish, a professor at Wellington's Victoria University, said while the global sea level is expected to rise about half a metre by 2100, for substantia­l parts of New Zealand it could be closer to a metre because the land is sinking at the same time.

It is stark news for the capital city, Wellington, which could expect 30 centimetre sea level rise by 2040 - a level that had not been expected before 2060.

With that rate of rise, Wellington residents can expect once-a-century flood damage every year on average.

"We have less time to act," Naish said. "You are going to see the impacts of quite damaging sea level rise much sooner than we thought. Roads and properties will be inundated.

"Yes, it is a bit terrifying but there is still time and I think that is the way to look at it."

Data shows the south-east coastline of the more-populated North Island is the most exposed, but numerous seaside communitie­s and towns will be hit.

Auckland, which with 1.7 million residents is comfortabl­y the country's largest city, is especially vulnerable.

It is predicted that the sea level will rise 50 per cent faster in the city's down-town waterfront and in several central-city suburbs, with wide-ranging implicatio­ns for house prices and insurance rates.

NZ Searise has developed an online tool to let residents and authoritie­s check forecasts for their own stretch of coast -- allowing them to assess the risk of flooding and erosion.

"We still have time, but we don't have time to sit on our hands any more," Naish said.

"If you're a council representa­tive or you're a developer, or you're a decisions maker in the coastal areas of New Zealand you need to start thinking right now what the plan is for adapting to that sea-level rise."

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said adaptation planning was already underway, including budgeting for the relocation of some communitie­s and infrastruc­ture away from vulnerable coastlines.

"The first port of call isn't necessaril­y managed retreat because there are a range of options that can be used," she told Radio New Zealand.

"We're working alongside local government and insurers to work through who bears the costs of some of these options. The cost that needs to be borne, won't fall on one party."

Ardern said New Zealanders shouldn't accept that sea level rises are inevitable beyond those predicted for the near term and that every citizen should do all they can to reduce emissions and diminish the impacts of climate change.

Global sea level rise is caused by thermal expansion of the ocean, by melting land-based glaciers, and by the melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets.

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