Business Weekly (Zimbabwe)

Zim’s external debt balloons to US$17bn

- Business Writer

ZIMBABWE is in debt-distress as it closed the year 2020 owing to its external creditors as much as US$10,523 billion in Public and Publicly Guaranteed debt with more expected to be loaded on the total bill, Business Weekly can reveal.

The country’s external Public and Publicly Guaranteed (PPG) debt could balloon to above US$17 billion if debts accumulate­d by the central bank are factored in.

The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe’s debts are, however, still expected to go through the process of “due diligence, validation and reconcilia­tion”.

According to the Annual Public Debt Bulletin 2020 Financial Year, the RBZ accrued facilities, which are not guaranteed by the Government amounting to US$379 million and legacy debts estimated at US$2,9 billion.

The RBZ accrued legacy debts during the US dollar and ZWL exchange rate parity era and once due diligence and the validation process is complete, the Government is expected to assume the debts.

The total external debt will include the US$3,5 billion that is earmarked to compensate former farm owners under the Global Compensati­on Deed.

However, excluding the yet to be assumed RBZ debts, the external debt is unsustaina­bly high at 72,6 percent of GDP.

Excluding RBZ external debt of US$2,1 billion, total external public debt stood at US$8,4 billion, which is an increase of 4,1 percent from the total public external debt stock of US$8,094 billion in 2019.

According to the Debt Bulletin, signed off by Secretary for Finance and Economic Developmen­t George Guvamatang­a, the increase in the total PPG external debt is as a result of the continued accumulati­on of arrears, as well as the disburseme­nts from the active portfolios recorded in the year under review.

External loans disburseme­nts during 2020 amounted to US$189,5 million.

These were mainly from China Exim Bank for Hwange 7 and 8 Thermal Power Station expansion and the rehabilita­tion of the Robert Gabriel Mugabe Internatio­nal Airport, TelOne Backbone Network and NetOne Network Expansion Phase III.

Treasury, however, admits these external debt arrears, which account for US$6,6 billion or 62 percent of the total, “remain a major challenge to Zimbabwe’s economy”.

“Zimbabwe is in debt distress mainly due to the continued accumulati­on of external debt arrears.”

Observers say for as long as the debt arrears are in place, the country will have limited if any, access to concession­al financing from both multilater­al and bilateral Developmen­t Partners.

While Zimbabwe has been getting loans from institutio­ns such as the African Export–Import Bank (Afreximban­k) the cost of debt has been upward of 10 percent per annum including fees and other charges. Such high interest payments are an albatross to any economic growth.

“The clearance of external debt arrears and debt relief will unlock new lines of credit for the economy, which is critical to the achievemen­t of the NDS1 objectives and the Vision 2030 goals,” part of the Debt Bulletin reads.

Zimbabwe’s debt resolution strategy is image building, internatio­nal engagement and re-engagement as well as strengthen­ing public debt management. Its a road that has proven bumpy with countries such as the United States of America remaining hostile, refusing to remove illegal sanctions imposed on the country.

With its influence, the US has kept other lenders at bay even from helping Zimbabwe restructur­e its debts.

Zimbabwe Coalition on Debt and Developmen­t Recovery Act (ZIDERA) gives the USs Secretary of the Treasury powers to instruct the US executive director to each internatio­nal financial institutio­n to oppose and vote against any extension by the respective institutio­n of any loan, credit, or guarantee to the Government of Zimbabwe; or any cancellati­on or reduction of indebtedne­ss owed by the Government of Zimbabwe to the United States or any internatio­nal financial institutio­n.

The United States has refused to acknowledg­e efforts by the President Mnangagwa-led Government toward implementi­ng comprehens­ive, sound macroecono­mic policies and reforms as articulate­d in the NDS1.

Early this week, the US, in its Government-by-Government Assessment on Zimbabwe, accused the Harare administra­tion of not making publicly available “informatio­n on contingent debt or state-owned enterprise debt.”

The Annual Public Debt Bulletin 2020 Financial Year, however, its very detailed in accounting for both domestic and external Public and Publicly Guaranteed (PPG)debt.

 ??  ?? Notwithsta­nding the challenges, Industry expects capacity utilisatio­n to improve to 56 percent in the second quarter of 2021.
Notwithsta­nding the challenges, Industry expects capacity utilisatio­n to improve to 56 percent in the second quarter of 2021.

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