Business Weekly (Zimbabwe)

The good, bad of credit risk analysis

- Blessing Nyatanga ◆ Blessing Nyatanga holds a bachelor’s degree with the National University of Science and Technology.0784909184/ blessnyata­nga@gmail.com

CREDIT risk arises from the potential that an obligor is either unwilling to perform an obligation or their ability to perform such obligation is impaired, resulting in a loss to a bank or financial institutio­n.

At this juncture it will be imperative to define credit analysis because of the manner in which the two concepts complement each other. Credit analysis is the process by which lenders determine if a borrower has the ability to repay a loan timeously.

At this juncture it will be important to elucidate on the 5cs of good credit which entail

◆ Capacity

◆ Character

◆ Collateral

◆ Capital

◆ Conditions

Capacity

This refers to the ability to run the business successful­ly and generate cash or liquidity to repay obligation­s when due. To ensure sufficient levels of liquidity, management must have products, markets, competitiv­e position in the market, and exercise cost control to generate profits.

Capacity can be further assessed through the borrower’s payment history and profitabil­ity track record.

Capacity refers to management experience (know-how), training, and skills to operate the business profitably. Capacity is equated to potential, capability, adequacy or strength.

Character

Character entails the borrower’s willingnes­s to pay their obligation­s. Business character should be based on payment record management quality, honesty, integrity and reliabilit­y. Character is the most important risk point to consider.

Collateral

Collateral includes receivable­s, inventory, property or other fixed assets that can be pledged to a lender to secure a loan. Other forms of collateral are: standby letters of credit, personal guarantees of sponsors, corporate guarantees (firm, parent or.

Collateral is a secondary source of loan repayment and the last protection against loan loss. It should not be the primary considerat­ion for lending.

Capital

Capital refers to the borrower’s investment in the business and the adequacy of funds the business needs to operate efficientl­y and generate cash to repay the loan. Capital reflects the borrower’s faith in the business, products, future; Capital broadly means borrower’s financial position.

Capital also entails assets, means and resources. Owners’ equity must exceed the amount of debt capital. Capital also extends to liquidity available to meet maturing obligation­s and run the business successful­ly.

Conditions

Conditions refer to economic and environmen­tal factors that might adversely affect the borrower’s operationa­l and financial performanc­e, and, therefore, its ability to repay credit facility. Among conditions lie the business climate, the legal and regulatory environmen­t as well as technologi­cal changes.

While the major focus has been on 5 elements of good credit there are 5 Cs of bad credit which compliment­s this concept. It is therefore prudent for banks and other financial organisati­ons to ensure they are cognisant of the 5cs of bad credit in order to make sound economic decisions. The 5 Cs of bad credit are as follows:

Complacenc­y

There should never be overrelian­ce on guarantors and failure to recognise changes in business cycles in the financial industries and this may be

Carelessne­ss

Organisati­ons should always operate within the confines of legislatio­n and ensure that documentat­ions and important files are well kept and proper procedures taken

Communicat­ion

A communicat­ion breakdown can destroy the Bank or financial institutio­n. Concerns about credit quality objectives must be communicat­ed clearly Communicat­ion with regulators and other external stakeholde­rs should be carefully managed

Contingenc­ies

It is always imperative for financial organisati­ons to ensure they engage a “what if “approach that is in the event that original plans fail, an alternativ­e should be in place and ready for implementa­tion.

Competitio­n

Financial institutio­ns should ensure that they are competitiv­e by adjusting key aspects of their operations such as reducing commission, fees, interest rates or loosening terms and conditions albeit within the confines of legislatio­n.

Conclusion

While we seek to be cognisant with the 5cs of good credit, it is imperative to also have knowledge on the elements of bad credit as these two concepts complement each other in making sound financial decisions.

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