Business Weekly (Zimbabwe)

When to sell a stock

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WARREN Buffett’s favourite holding period for a stock is “forever”, but even he acknowledg­es there are valid reasons for selling a stock. Deciding when to sell a stock is something both profession­al and retail investors grapple with. In fact, it’s accepted wisdom that buying a stock is psychologi­cally easier than selling one.

Fundamenta­lly, the two human emotions influencin­g investors when considerin­g selling a stock are greed and fear. However, selling stocks is a necessary part of your investment journey, and there are right and wrong reasons for doing so. When to sell – several aspects to consider 1. An investment outlook or strategy has changed

Consider, for example, a scenario in which you have bought into a retail company, but the economic environmen­t has changed, so inflation is increasing. In this case, you may decide to limit your exposure to retail shares.

2. A decrease in company growth sales

If a company’s sales growth has notably slowed or its strategic direction, management, or dividend policy has changed, this indicates a key sell signal for many investors.

3. Company acquisitio­n

When news of a company acquisitio­n breaks, the share price of the company being acquired usually surges close to the agreed purchase price. With limited room for further gains, investors might prefer to secure their profits soon after the acquisitio­n announceme­nt, especially if they anticipate potential impacts on the investment’s future appeal or strategic direction.

4. Rebalancin­g your portfolio

The need for investors to rebalance their portfolio ensures exposure across sectors and asset classes is maintained in accordance with your investment strategy. For example, selling a stock to increase your exposure to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or fixed income.

Another example of rebalancin­g is when a single holding becomes too big when considerin­g your overall portfolio. This could be due to the value of the share increasing materially over time, resulting in concentrat­ion risk, which could, in turn, justify taking profits.

Despite these guidelines, the reality is that choosing an opportune time to sell is never easy. When selling a stock, you effectivel­y give up further equity upside, so ensure that you are comfortabl­e living with share price moves after selling.

Also, ensure you are selling the stock within the context of your financial plan, which outlines your investment and financial goals for the short and long term.

Just as there are guidelines on when to sell a stock, there are also guidelines on when not to sell.

1. Don’t sell a stock just because its price has increased

Winning stocks increase in price for a reason, and they also tend to keep winning.

2. Don’t rush to sell a stock solely because its price has dropped

First, assess if the broader market is experienci­ng similar movements or if there’s specific news affecting the company, potentiall­y causing the dip. It could be a one-time event.

3. Review the company’s track record

Check if the company has faced similar situations in the past and bounced back. Evaluate the competitiv­e landscape as well. If competitor­s haven’t experience­d a dip, investigat­e the reasons behind this and assess whether you still have confidence in the company’s strategy.

Once you have decided to sell a stock, there are further considerat­ions to bear in mind.

Your decision on reinvestme­nt should be guided by why you’re selling in the first place. Is it due to specific stock reasons, or are you temporaril­y stepping back from the market until your predetermi­ned entry levels are reached for re-entry?

If it’s the former, you’ll need to explore alternativ­e investment options since keeping cash may not yield returns that outpace inflation in the long run.

Also, keep in mind the challenge of timing your re-entry into the market. The recommende­d approach is to avoid trying to “time the market” and instead execute your buy order when the appropriat­e time arrives.

Finally, your advisor can clarify the repercussi­ons of the sale, particular­ly regarding tax implicatio­ns, and help determine your next investment based on your predefined investment goals and risk profile, ensuring that your overall portfolio remains balanced and aligned with your goals. —moneyweb

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