NewsDay (Zimbabwe)

What I would do with US$931m

- Vince Musewe Vince Musewe is an independen­t economist and is reachable on vtmusewe@gmail.com

ZIMBABWE recently received a whooping US$961 million under the IMF special drawing rights (SDR) facility. The SDR is an internatio­nal reserve asset created by the IMF in 1969 to supplement the official reserves of member countries. It is a potential claim on freely usable currencies of the IMF members. On August 23, the IMF implemente­d a general allocation of SDRs equivalent to US$650 billion. This is the IMFs largest distributi­on.

As with all windfalls, there is high risk that these funds can be mis-used as members are not accountabl­e to the IMF for their use, but must rely on their country’s institutio­nal governance with regard to integrity, transparen­cy and accountabi­lity. Zimbabwe’s Finance minister Mthuli Ncube has made assurances that these funds will be utilised to improve provision of social services (health and education), enhance social protection, boost investment in agricultur­e, mining and industry, fund infrastruc­ture developmen­t (roads and housing) and shore up the country’s reserves to support macro-economic stability.

In total, Zimbabwe requires much more than $1 billion to revive the economy to its full productive capacity. In my opinion, Zimbabwe needs a US$50 billion Marshall Plan interventi­on in order to restore democracy, modernise industry, rebuild physical and social infrastruc­ture, revive agricultur­e and ensure food security, provide social safety nets, support and formalise grassroots commerce, transform State enterprise­s, unlock small to medium enterprise potential, increase productivi­ty and competitiv­eness and re-build new democratic institutio­ns. For now we, however, need to make use of what’s on the table.

What would I consider in relation to effectivel­y utilising the US$961m?

The first thing I would do is to ask for submission of proposals from relevant stakeholde­rs, especially those outside government. This would allow me to have a broader perspectiv­e of what needs to be done on the ground despite what I may think. Many a time politician­s fail to consult and this leads to avoidable mis-steps. Generally, I have found that the people on the ground know better what needs to be done because they are at the coal face and understand the problems better.

Second, I would specifical­ly require provinces to submit their needs per priority sectors as above. It is very important that we take every opportunit­y to create inclusive economic developmen­t. A key prerequisi­te would be to ensure there is capacity at provincial level for funds management.

Third, I would establish a committee to oversee implementa­tion. The minster has establishe­d one which includes Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe governor John Mangundya and Finance ministry permanent secretary George Guvamatang­a. I have much respect for these two colleagues, however, everyone, including me, has a blind spot and it would have been beneficial to include sectoral experts from outside government. I do trust, however, that they will consult and be open to new ideas. Having done the above, I would rank my priority clusters as, human capital developmen­t, food security, industrial production, infrastruc­ture and macro-socioecono­mic stability.

On human capital developmen­t

In my opinion, everything starts and ends with people. A healthy, educated and skilled society must be at the centre of economic developmen­t. Access to affordable health and education services at local level is a right and not a luxury. We must ensure that all our medical facilities are functional, well equipped and have medicinal stocks required to meet needs. Added to that we must pay our health profession­als a decent wage. On the education front we must ensure all our schools are well equipped, have access to ICT and our teachers are paid a decent wage.

On food security

Any country which fails to feed its citizens and minimise poverty through social security nets is a failure. Zimbabwe, despite having all the necessary land resources and ideas, is failing to do just that. We must fully utilise our land assets and limit importatio­n of food as a priority as this saves the country millions in foreign exchange. We must also diversify our agricultur­e produce and invest more in exportable produce, horticultu­re being a sector that has been mentioned. The minister has alluded to this and intends to set up a revolving fund for agricultur­al exports so that we prioritise investing in produce which earns the country foreign exchange. The means of access to these funds for farmers will be the deciding factor.

On industrial production

Zimbabwe’s business sector recently complained that they have not been able to access the $18bn fund announced by the government during the COVID-19 pandemic and this puts to question the modalities which are in place in order to ease access to capital for the industrial sector. No doubt industrial­isation is viewed as a priority by all but what is now key is ensuring that industry actually gets hold of long-term funding. We, therefore, need a new approach. The Industrial Developmen­t Corporatio­n (IDCZ) needs to be capacitate­d to lead industrial funding, after all that is why it was created. Added to this, the Industry and Commerce ministry must play a central role in industrial­isation and facilitati­ng access to capital.

On infrastruc­ture developmen­t

Significan­t work is already being done on infrastruc­ture, particular­ly on the road network and the building of clinics and schools. I would, therefore, focus more on urban social infrastruc­ture to improve the quality of life of citizens, waste management, water, sanitation and lighting so that we can at least create clean cities.

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