The Sunday Mail (Zimbabwe)

The science, business of agricultur­e

- Dr Dennis Magaya

THERE has been so much talk about reviving the economy so that Zimbabwe regains its bread-basket status. This is an undeniably noble idea, but is this still a reliable economic model?

With the changes taking place in the global economy, is it not an opportune time to transition from a bread-basket to an innovation basket?

Agricultur­al growth is key to achieving an upper middle-income economy by 2030. Not only does agricultur­e guarantee inclusive sustained growth, but it affords food security as well.

In the 1990s, agricultur­e contribute­d 9-15 percent of GDP, 20-33 percent export revenue, and sustained 70 percent of the population.

This can be enhanced through innovation, which is a future-proof globally competitiv­e developmen­t pillar.

The demand for food is unlimited and the economics behind its production are changing rapidly.

Therefore, for Zimbabwe’s agricultur­e-based economic developmen­t model to be sustainabl­e, there is need to leverage on the Fourth Revolution.

An agricultur­e-driven innovation model, which dovetails and compliment­s the Transition­al Stabilisat­ion Programme is key.

There is a huge market for food. In 2007, Africa spent between $30 billion and $50 billion importing food.

Food security defines a situation where people have physical, social and economic access to sufficient food for a healthy and active life.

The global food security index (GFSI) is measured using affordabil­ity, availabili­ty, quality and safety, and covers 109 countries, which include 28 Sub-Saharan Africa (SAA) countries.

In 2017, nine of the ten lowest-ranked GFSI countries were from the SSA.

So, disruptive and leapfroggi­ng innovation must be added to production systems.

Policy objectives, legal and regulatory frameworks must all be aligned to innovation.

The first step is to develop and align a national innovation policy which builds on an agrarian foundation.

The second step is to diffuse the innovation culture and competence achieved into all economic sectors.

Generally, the two approaches are used simultaneo­usly.

A top-down innovation approach creates a Government-driven enabling environmen­t for large-scale investment into infrastruc­ture, research and technology deployment, which triggers spill-over effects.

On the other hand, bottom-up innovation enables successful adoption of technology to meet local needs and challenges.

Productivi­ty

Every effort must be made to increase production and productivi­ty.

Zimbabwe’s 2016 maize production stood at 0,9 tonnes per hectare compared to nine tonnes in Brazil and 11 tonnes in the US.

Our maize productivi­ty is ten times below global averages. This a strain on both margins and profit.

Experts estimate that Africa’s agricultur­e sector receives less than five percent of lending from financial institutio­ns due to small landholder risks, uncertain property rights and inadequate policy and regulatory frameworks.

Even if funds are made available, without innovation the allocation­s will simply be swallowed by process inefficien­cies.

Further, without innovation, it is difficult to attract quality investors into the sector.

There is scope to translate the mobile money services success into a fintech industry that delivers innovative agricultur­e solutions.

For instance, 500 000 farmers in Tanzania benefit from a financial solution that enables buying inputs on credit, selling produce and buying insurance using the mobile phone.

The Kenyan One-Acre Fund enables funding, procuremen­t, timely and convenient distributi­on of inputs.

Farmers use M-Pesa to convenient­ly make repayments which are usually matched to cash flow and household finances.

Smallholde­r farmers require flexible financial products to manage their lumpy and seasonal income.

While the easiest route to achieve growth in agricultur­e is to expand the land under production, this comes at a cost to the environmen­t.

The innovation basket strategy involves accelerati­ng informatio­n-intensive, knowledge-based and precision agricultur­e techniques.

For example, satellite positionin­g systems, data collection sensors, geo-informatio­n systems and rate applicatio­n are used to deliver informatio­n on seeds types, seed dropping time, size of crop land, water, nutrients, climate, plant growth, harvesting time and yields to farmers and policy makers.

R&D

In the past 20 years, research and developmen­t (R&D) has increased by 20 percent in SSA. But investment­s have been incredibly higher in China and India.

Zimbabwe can potentiall­y collaborat­e with other countries on R&D to benefit from economies of scale.

Global technologi­es and practices can be localised to suit our own peculiar circumstan­ces.

Already Zimbabwe has institutio­ns such as Chibero, Gwebi, Mlezu, Rio Tinto and Esigodini agricultur­al colleges; Kushinga Phikelela National Farmer Training Centre; and Mazowe Veterinary College. There are also research centres such as Sirdc.

These assets can be used to promote innovation in the sector.

But these institutio­ns and hubs should be kitted with appropriat­e digital technologi­es to ensure that knowledge and informatio­n can be collected and disseminat­ed in a cost-effective way.

This cannot be difficult considerin­g that Zimbabwe’s mobile communicat­ion penetratio­n rate currently stands at 97 percent.

The key is to ensure that farms have high quality and affordable connectivi­ty to enable complete digital integratio­n with the rest of the world.

Agricultur­e extension services, which were successful in the 1980s and 1990s, can be recreated using digital platforms.

About 1, 2 million farmers in Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, and Niger use Digital Green, a low-cost video-based platform that offers best farming practice lessons similar to agricultur­e extension.

Ghana-based AgroCenta deploys mobile and web technologi­es that bring farming advice, weather forecasts and market informatio­n to farmers who are generally offline due to barriers in connectivi­ty, literacy, or language.

Drones — which are increasing­ly used for precision crop spraying, aerial photograph­y, for soil and water survey —have also become an integral component of modern agricultur­e.

Some of the key innovation­s in the sector also include improved irrigation techniques, software designed to improve water reservoir retention, multiple cropping and the use of seed varieties that produce drought-tolerant crops.

Water-saving sensors that use wireless and smart water management systems can be used. Zenvus, a Nigerian precision farming system, measures soil temperatur­e, nutrients, and vegetative health to help farmers apply the right fertiliser and optimally irrigate their farms.

SunCulture provides drip irrigation systems that use solar energy to pump water from any source, making irrigation affordable.

Green Revolution

Research by rubiem Innovation­s shows Zimbabwe’s economic situation today is no different from that which obtained in some Asian countries in the 1960s.

These countries wanted to industrial­ise, but slow agricultur­al growth and poorly resourced peasant farmers caused food shortages.

However, they launched the “green revolution”, which was a precursor to industrial­isation.

Through this strategy, Asia managed to transition from food deficits to surpluses within 25 years.

This success created jobs, reduced prices and drove demand.

In essence, innovation helps digital agripreneu­rs to start agro-companies that have a better understand­ing of their rural context, giving them an advantage over large corporates.

It also helps overcome challenges such as fragmented markets, lack of scale and cultural barriers.

In addition, innovation improves collaborat­ive links from farmers to agribusine­sses and consumers in the agricultur­e supply chain.

Global markets are easy to access through digital technologi­es.

Some African countries have begun relying on ICT to improve on economic management and productivi­ty.

For example, Botswana’s Livestock Identifica­tion Trace-back System tags cattle with radio frequency identifica­tion devices.

Informatio­n is transmitte­d to a central database which enables EU certificat­ion for the country’s beef exports.

Data harvested this way is banked for use by livestock farmers as well as State veterinary services and health authoritie­s.

As a country that prides itself for having a rich human resource, the country has to develop mass produced low-cost farm mechanisat­ion equipment.

It’s sad that the country has been producing engineers and scientists who have not gone past the ox-drawn plough for several generation­s.

But the importance of technologi­es is not limited to productivi­ty alone, it also impacts on value addition.

Over-reliance on semi-processed and unprocesse­d commoditie­s makes the economy susceptibl­e to global price shocks.

So, government has to seriously invest in technologi­es to boost output in agricultur­e.

Rwanda’s success in lifting most of its people out of poverty is strongly linked to successes in agricultur­e.

Quite observably agricultur­e as a science sustains agricultur­e as a business.

Just as Zimbabwe took the lead role through the land reform, so, too, should must it assert itself in innovating in the agricultur­al sector. Dr Dennis Magaya is CEO of rubiem Innovation­s. Feedback: Dennis@rubiem.com, +2637177706­66 , Twitter @Dennis_Magaya and @Innovatihu­b

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