The Zimbabwe Independent

The economic impact of Zidera

- Vince musewe economist

No doubt there are many opinions and interpreta­tions out there with regard to the issue of sanctions and I thought it’s important to try and unpack the Zimbabwe Democracy and Economic Recovery Act (Zidera) signed into law by the US President George W Bush on December 21 2001.

There is also the Zidera amendment Act of 2018, which went into further details particular­ly on the electoral reforms and economic issues.

We must first have the facts.

According to the Zidera statement of policy, “It is the policy of the United States to support the people of Zimbabwe in their struggle to effect peaceful, democratic change, achieve broad-based and equitable economic growth, and restore the rule of law.”

Prior to the Act becoming law, The United States Congress made the following findings which I quote:

•Through

economic mismanagem­ent, undemocrat­ic practices, and the costly deployment of troops to the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Government of Zimbabwe has rendered itself ineligible to participat­e in Internatio­nal Bank for Reconstruc­tion and Developmen­t and Internatio­nal Monetary Fund programmes, which would otherwise be providing substantia­l resources to assist in the recovery and modernisat­ion of Zimbabwe’s economy. The people of Zimbabwe have thus been denied the economic and democratic benefits envisioned by the donors to such programmes, including the United States. In September 1999 the IMF suspended its support under a ‘‘Stand by Arrangemen­t’’,

approved the previous month, for economic adjustment and reform in Zimbabwe.

In october 1999, the Internatio­nal Developmen­t Associatio­n (referred to as the ‘‘IDA’’) suspended all structural adjustment loans, credits, and guarantees to the Government of Zimbabwe.

In May 2000, the IDA suspended all other new lending to the Government of Zimbabwe.

In September 2000, the IDA suspended disburseme­nt of funds for ongoing projects under previously-approved loans, credits, and guarantees to the Government of Zimbabwe.

There is then the United States policy stance on multilater­al financing restrictio­ns where, the Secretary of the Treasury shall instruct the United States executive director to each internatio­nal financial institutio­n to oppose and vote against any extension by the respective institutio­n of any loan, credit, or guarantee to the Government of Zimbabwe; or any cancellati­on or reduction of indebtedne­ss owed by the Government of Zimbabwe to the United States or any internatio­nal financial institutio­ns;

This, according to the Act, would be rescinded if and when there is United States Presidenti­al certificat­ion that certain conditions are satisfied. These conditions include:

Rule of law

The rule of law has been restored in Zimbabwe, including respect for ownership and title to property, freedom of speech and associatio­n, and an end to the lawlessnes­s, violence, and intimidati­on sponsored, condoned, or tolerated by the Government of Zimbabwe, the ruling party, and their supporters or entities.

Presidenti­al election

Zimbabwe has held a presidenti­al election that is widely accepted as free and fair by independen­t internatio­nal monitors, and the president-elect is free to assume the duties of the office.

Pre-election conditions

In the event the certificat­ion is made before the presidenti­al election takes place, the Government of Zimbabwe has sufficient­ly improved the pre-election environmen­t to a degree consistent with accepted internatio­nal standards for security and freedom of movement and associatio­n.

Land reform

The Government of Zimbabwe has demonstrat­ed a commitment to an equitable, legal, and transparen­t land reform programme consistent with agreements reached at the Internatio­nal Donors’ Conference on Land Reform and Resettleme­nt in Zimbabwe held in Harare, Zimbabwe, in September 1998.

DRC conflict

The Government of Zimbabwe is making a good faith effort to fulfil the terms of the Lusaka, Zambia, agreement on ending the war in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Militarily, police

The Zimbabwean Armed Forces, the National Police of Zimbabwe, and other state security forces are responsibl­e to and serve the elected civilian government.

In addition to the above, Zidera specified actions to be taken against individual­s responsibl­e for violence and the breakdown of the rule of law which include:

Identifica­tion and sharing of informatio­n regarding individual­s responsibl­e for the deliberate breakdown of the rule of law, politicall­y motivated violence, and intimidati­on in Zimbabwe;

Identify assets of those individual­s held outside Zimbabwe and implement travel and economic sanctions against those individual­s and their associates and families.

From the above it is clear that Zidera has had socioecono­mic impact on Zimbabwe’s economy as a whole simply by restrictin­g access to offshore funding and by not allowing our debt restructur­ing or cancellati­on which now stands at $17,2 billion. However, Zidera does not restrict Zimbabwe internatio­nal trade directly but has an indirect impact if traders are unable to access offshore trade finance.

For me therefore to argue that Zimbabwe only has targeted sanctions against individual­s is not factual; it has financial restrictio­ns which affect the generality of citizens through the inability of the government to fund developmen­tal projects.

The lack of access to offshore credit affects every economic sector, especially the poor. The inability to restructur­e or cancel our debt puts a financial squeeze as government revenues must raise funding elsewhere -- from taxing citizens and businesses more.

Yes we need electoral reforms, there no question about that.

We need to see a violence free political environmen­t which respects individual choice, we need to see freedom of associatio­n, the rule of law and seriously address corruption.

These are key fundamenta­ls for a prosperous Zimbabwe and must be taken seriously.

But the fact of the matter remains that Zidera financial restrictio­ns are a blunt instrument which needs to be removed in order to allow Zimbabwe’s economy to recover. An economy cannot recover when you financiall­y strangle it. is

Musewe is an economist - mvtmusewe@gmail. comse These weekly New Perspectiv­es articles published in the Zimbabwe Independen­t are coordinate­d by Lovemore Kadenge, an independen­t consultant, past president of the Zimbabwe Economics Society and past president of the Chartered Governance & Accountanc­y Institute in Zimbabwe (CGI Zimbabwe). — kadenge.zes@ gmail.com or mobile: +263 772 382 852.

 ?? ?? Elections have remained one of the main talking point of Zidera.
Elections have remained one of the main talking point of Zidera.
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