The Zimbabwe Independent

Are Africa’s creditors benefiting from the continent’s crises?

- Zvikombore­ro ECONOMIC analyst

AS a build-up from last week, this week's column explores the predatory nature of some of the creditors, highlighti­ng how Africa tends to lose out in various creditor-led debt relief initiative­s.

The column also highlights the linkages of debt, trade, markets, and natural resources, among other sectors — the emergency of the debt conundrum in Africa.

Debt relief, developmen­t in Africa

Many debt relief initiative­s are available to developing nations facing debt distress, such as the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) adopted by the G20. While the DSSI is necessary, it does not provide full debt relief.

Also, the DSSI is temporary and not a targeted instrument, and many private creditors have declined to participat­e in this initiative.

More so, only 73 of the poorest nations have access to the DSSI and Common Framework (CF), leaving out a large number of middle-income countries with debt issues.

All nations that require liquidity support should receive it, and this situation necessitat­es a combinatio­n of debt restructur­ing, new funding, and architectu­ral improvemen­ts.

In addition, the CF has challenges pertaining to timeliness, eligibilit­y, and treatment comparabil­ity; for instance, there is a lack of mechanisms to address treatment comparabil­ity across and between creditor classes (private and official creditors).

Without improvemen­ts to establish inclusive and representa­tive sovereign debt authority, independen­ce of debtor and creditor interests, there will be no orderly, timely, and fair debt resolution.

The shortage of rules-based systems breeds inefficien­cy - too little, too late restructur­ings – with exorbitant social costs and market uncertaint­y increasing risk premium.

A lack of bankruptcy procedures strengthen­s holdout creditors while disadvanta­ging other claimants on sovereign resources like workers and pensioners.

The management of the debt relief solutions is also critical.

Many African nations give the impression of being democratic, but this is only because multi-party elections are held there, frequently with little to no voter choice.

Implicitly, fundamenta­l components of a democratic society like accountabi­lity, oversight, widespread engagement, empowermen­t, and constituti­onalism continue to be widely mocked.

The question of whether African leaders whose nations have benefited from the debt relief package will provide a satisfacto­ry explanatio­n for such generosity is raised by this trend.

More politician­s would be ready to invest in their constituen­ts' welfare through effective governance and management of debt reduction, which would improve general infrastruc­ture developmen­t, health care, education, energy distributi­on, and job creation.

However, considerin­g African nations' widespread opportunis­tic and corrupt culture, it is questionab­le whether much can be accomplish­ed in these critical sectors.

When all of the above is considered, it begs the issue of whether debt reduction is really what Africa needs.

The debt reduction programme is being implemente­d to give the impression that the West is providing special treatment to Africa.

This should not be the case. Decades of exploitati­on of Africa through colonialis­m and the slave trade are primarily to blame for the continent's growing dilemma and tensions.

Years of marginalis­ation and ongoing exploitati­on of African resources by the neo-colonial enterprise were to follow.

Instead of being viewed as help, perhaps the HIPC could be seen as a meager portion of meeting a Western debt to Africa. In light of this, the idea of debt relief — or, worse yet, debt forgivenes­s — offends.

Trade and entreprene­urial developmen­t are far more critical to Africa than debt reduction.

Debt relief is a good place to start. Still, the real problem is how to loosen the restrictiv­e internatio­nal trade laws that force Africa and many other developing nations into precarious situations.

The high expectatio­ns accompanyi­ng the debt relief granted to some African countries will remain expectatio­ns for years unless the proper conditions are created for a genuinely liberal internatio­nal trade, where there is no longer discrimina­tion and double standards on trade barriers.

However, Africa's problems have worsened due to the mounting global economic crises.

Due to these crises, most African nations are experienci­ng a decline in the demand from

around the world for natural resources that account for most of their income.

Other anticipate­d effects include reduced remittance­s, falling foreign direct investment, and flight of foreign capital out of vulnerable local stock exchanges as internatio­nal investors seek safer havens. In addition, Africa should anticipate a decrease in direct funding from wealthier countries that are currently busy with their own economic issues and the Russia- Ukraine war.

The following are creditor benefits from Africa debt crisis:

High Interest

When developing countries borrow money, they face high interest rates relative to their developed counterpar­ts, even without considerin­g costs associated with exchange rate volatiliti­es.

On average, African countries’ borrowing rates are four times higher than those in the United States and eight times more than those in Germany.

The high cost of borrowing makes it extremely difficult for developing nations to fund critical investment­s, further underminin­g debt sustainabi­lity and progress toward sustainabl­e developmen­t.

Record lending

Creditors are cashing in on debt crises. For instance, despite considerin­g half of lowincome nations overindebt­ed, in 2022, the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) extended more debt at record levels for the third year in a row.

This shows inconsiste­ncy with its own guidelines.

Also, without demanding restructur­ing first, the Fund has issued debt even to countries where it identified elevated risk of high indebtedne­ss.

The strategy will ensure that developing nations remain in debt to the benefit of the creditor through interest earnings. In the case of a debt default, the interest charged by creditor banks is excessive, thus benefiting creditor countries.

Natural resource access

Since many developing nations are trapped in debt, borrowing from multilater­al institutio­ns is curtailed or availed only with conditiona­lities attached, such as austerity measures.

This benefits predatory bilateral creditors offering loans to cash-strapped government­s in exchange for minerals or mineral revenue streams.

These resource-backed loans (RBLS) are often accrued in secrecy without consultati­on with national parliament­s, thus increasing the chances of corruption.

As such, creditors are getting Africa’s precious metals and minerals cheaply because they are extracted unsustaina­bly and sold in raw form.

Race to the bottom

Creditors are helping fuel the race to the bottom in developing countries.

Predatory bilateral creditors are offering RBLS to nations in debt distress and, in exchange, lobby for low tax rates on creditor country investment­s.

Due to desperatio­n, developing countries provide unsustaina­ble tax incentives such as tax holidays and tax exemptions.

Trade promotion

On one hand, high, unsustaina­ble debt levels in developing countries increase the cost of borrowing, fueling the cost of doing business in the economy. This renders their domestic firms uncompetit­ive in internatio­nal markets relative to rich nations.

On the other hand, creditor nations with sustainabl­e debts enjoy a low cost of money, making their local firms highly competitiv­e globally.

Ultimately, developing countries struggle with unsustaina­ble trade deficits, cementing a master-servant relationsh­ip.

Sibanda is an economist. He is a research associate with Zimcodd. He is a staunch advocate for inclusive and sustainabl­e developmen­t. He writes in his personal capacity.

 ?? ?? Most creditors are getting Africa’s mineral resources cheaply because they are extracted unsustaina­bly and sold in raw form.
Most creditors are getting Africa’s mineral resources cheaply because they are extracted unsustaina­bly and sold in raw form.
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