Mercury (Hobart)

Hard to make inroads without a seat at the cabinet table

- Peter Boyer, who began his journalism career at the Mercury, specialise­s in the science and politics of climate change.

WPeter Boyer

HILE rolling back existing US climate measures, Donald Trump’s administra­tion is busily rewriting the science of climate change to match its own version of events.

The Environmen­tal Protection Agency is instructin­g its employees to emphasise the uncertaint­y of our knowledge of climate change, a direct contradict­ion of multiple surveys of climate change science including the latest report of the Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change.

“Human influence on the climate system is clear,” says the IPCC. “Warming of the climate system is unequivoca­l, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unpreceden­ted over decades to millennia.”

At the same time, the Trump administra­tion has ordered a review of 2011 provisions intended to cut transport emissions, requiring vehicle makers to meet a tough fuel efficiency standard.

The Washington Post also reports that the US Fish and Wildlife Service has advised staff not to include informatio­n about climate “known to be related to divisive political issues”. For “divisive political issues” read: the science behind humaninduc­ed climate change.

And Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke has been caught on video apologisin­g to the CEO of a mining company complainin­g about federal “impediment­s” to his business. The company is involved in large-scale contaminat­ion in the Rocky Mountains with a clean-up bill of tens of millions of dollars.

This is the US, where politics has been poisoned, I hear you say. Things are not like that in Australia. But is that really so?

Unlike Trump and his cabinet, the Australian government has not directly confronted scientists. But over the past five years funding for science has steadily declined, and since December it has not been represente­d in the Turnbull cabinet.

In 2015 the Government recognised a “critical” role for science in delivering new sources of growth and economic prosperity.

Yet in that same year its own spending on science told a different story: 0.04 per cent of the federal budget — third last among the world’s 18 richest countries.

Australia’s overall research spending record is at best mediocre.

Latest OECD figures (for 2016) show that from a high of 2.25 per cent of gross domestic spending in 2008 it had dropped to less than 1.9 per cent, well below the OECD average of 2.4 per cent.

Then there’s the cabinet table. Science had had cabinet representa­tion for 87 years in a row until Tony Abbott removed it from the list of portfolio responsibi­lities in September 2013.

It was back in cabinet when Ian Macfarlane became science minister in December 2014, followed by Christophe­r Pyne, Greg Hunt and from January last year Senator Arthur Sinodinos.

But when Sinodinos took sick leave nine months later, the wheels again started to come off.

A pre-Christmas cabinet

US has harsh critics, but Australia has its own way of throttling science, writes

reshuffle saw science removed from cabinet titles. Its only formal mention now is in the title of a junior (non-cabinet) minister, Senator Zed Seselja. The claim of his boss, Senator Michaelia Cash, that she was “the minister responsibl­e for science” has no formal basis.

If the Government really believes its own message about science’s critical role, this is a very strange way of dealing with it.

Science and Technology Australia represents 70,000 Australian profession­als working across all scientific discipline­s. During parliament­ary sittings each year since 1999 it has organised a “science meets parliament” event at Parliament House, Canberra.

At this year’s event STA president Emma Johnston told a National Press Club audience, including Seselja, that Australian scientists saw “the future that is barrelling towards us” and were gravely concerned: “We know the heat is rising, and like many of you, we wake in fright.”

Johnston warned that a strong, independen­t Australia depended on science.

She called for a whole-of-government plan for longterm investment in “a world- class research infrastruc­ture”, and for policy-makers and decision-takers to understand what it really takes to succeed in research.

Big breakthrou­ghs happen on the back of decades of research and developmen­t, she said.

Science investment and job security has been hit by “short-termism” in government: “Australia needs a powerful and secure minister for science to rise above the short-termism and instabilit­y.”

Whatever Seselja thought about Johnston’s pointed criticism of government, including his own, wasn’t recorded, but it wouldn’t have mattered much. We can’t expect this most junior of ministers to have any impact on a cabinet that has so consistent­ly rejected and devalued scientific advice.

Donald Trump’s administra­tion openly defies science. Malcolm Turnbull and his ministers, who don’t like being a target, do their damage through neglect. But the effect is much the same.

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