Mercury (Hobart)

COSTS OF COVID

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The Australian government has allocated billions of dollars to finance and contain responses to the initial outbreak, and the ongoing containmen­t, of Covid-19 and its developing strains.

State and federal expenditur­es run into billions of dollars. Australia already had a deficit of over $1 trillion, even prior to the outbreak.

Covid costs will stretch the capacity to address such large deficits against the need for a net expenditur­e to maintain a functionin­g and effective response to further health outlays.

There is a view, emanating predominan­tly from the UK, that the Covid and other strains debt could be managed outside the realm of consolidat­ed (general) government debt.

In this respect research centres on separating the Covid debt from the general debt by transformi­ng associated pandemic debt into consolidat­ed annuities or bonds.

Public bonds that could be individual­ly bought, managed and traded with a fixed interest rate. Similar to other bonds traded in wider financial markets.

What makes these changes functional, safe and reliable is their government ownership and, most importantl­y, the opportunit­y for movement of such a large extra commitment to consolidat­ed debt.

Debt that otherwise would inherently draw negative responses to burgeoning consolidat­ed debt. Responses that could, and would, make necessary post-Covid recovery even more difficult.

Record government debt would disadvanta­ge spending on health services and community recovery. But encapsulat­ing Covid debts into saleable financial market instrument­s would ease that pain.

Consolidat­ed Annuities (Consols) have worked in past crises. Government­s could legislate to convert our Covid debt into effectivel­y trade-ready Consols, with a commitment to repay as, and when, the economy recovers.

The capacity to effectivel­y maintain health services across the country is, alone, a very good reason to examine this very important and timely opportunit­y.

Peter Willans

Coningham

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