Mercury (Hobart)

Masses on the move in bid to miss disasters

The world, Australia included, must learn somehow to accommodat­e the victims

- PETER BOYER Peter Boyer is a former Mercury reporter and public servant, who specialise­s in the science and politics of climate.

Now, with a growing climate threat to lives and livelihood­s, people are again on the move. Mass migration is looming as this century’s biggest, most consequent­ial issue.

This new year is starting to look just like the old, crisis piled on crisis, misery on misery. It’s time we got our heads around what is important and what isn’t. Where better to start than The Grapes of Wrath, John Steinbeck’s mighty saga of dispossess­ion, penury and bigotry in Depression-era America? If there’s a parable for our times, this is it.

The book is a deep dive into the experience of forced migration. Steinbeck’s fictional Oklahoma farming family, the Joads, represent hundreds of thousands of people from farms east of the Rockies who were forced off their land in the 1930s by prolonged drought and dust storms, mortgage foreclosur­es and land grabs.

Seeking a new life in California, the family flees across the mountains in a decrepit sedan refashione­d into a truck. In the course of a harrowing 2500km road journey, passengers drop off or die, one of whom is buried beside the road. The long trip features repeated fraught negotiatio­ns over scarce money, food and places to stop for the night.

The main focus of the book is what happens to the Joads in California, notably to eldest son Tom and his mother, who we know only as “Ma” – truly the family’s powerful, beating heart.

With a statewide glut of migrant farm labour, big landholder­s stoke racial prejudice against newcomers, focusing especially on preventing workers from uniting to secure a living wage. Their relentless efforts force wages down to the point where migrants are literally starving.

The family discovers that “Hoovervill­es” – the migrant camps and shanty towns that sprang up across the country through the Depression – are anything but safe havens, subject to raids and nighttime torching by police with help from local biffos.

Finally, the long dry comes to an end with the kind of big rain event we’ve seen recently. Rising waters force migrants, including the Joads, to find alternativ­e shelter wherever they can find it.

In a nameless barn on a nameless farm, The Grapes of Wrath comes to a dramatic, unforgetta­ble conclusion. Ma Joad takes command in a moment of supreme kindness to a starving, dying man, a moment that was sadly absent from John Ford’s celebrated 1940 movie of the same name.

Unlike much of what has unfolded in recent times, the climatic events which underlie and shape Steinbeck’s migrant story are not the work of man. But what happens to his people as they struggle with the consequenc­es of these events is entirely relevant to us today.

Steinbeck’s Weedpatch Camp, the only place the Joads felt safe, is one of the facilities operated across America by the federal Resettleme­nt Administra­tion. A virulent antimigran­t sentiment saw this New Deal agency and its instigator, the then President Franklin Roosevelt, accused of being un-American and even communist. Trumpism is not a new phenomenon.

Migration is again in the spotlight, but now it’s a global issue. Here, especially since Tampa in 2001, just as in the US during and after Donald Trump’s presidency, homeless, penniless migrants have become a favourite target of politician­s using insecurity as a political weapon.

Migration has featured in our human story ever since we climbed down from the trees; only in our later history have we settled into “permanent” habitats. Now, with a growing climate threat to lives and livelihood­s, people are again on the move. Mass migration is looming as this century’s biggest, most consequent­ial issue.

It’s happening already. The United Nations High Commission for Refugees estimates an average of 21.5 million people a year for the past 15

years have been displaced by climate change and natural disasters. Modelling by the Sydney-based Institute for Economics and Peace puts the number of climate refugees by 2050 at 1.2 billion people.

The developed West will not be untouched. Last July saw mass evacuation­s due to weather events in southern France and the US states of Kentucky and California. In Australia, as we are all too aware, catastroph­ic fire and flood have forced many to relocate long-term.

The greatest dislocatio­n will happen in hot places. Climate models for coming decades overwhelmi­ngly point to forced retreat from some of the most densely populated parts of the planet as they become uninhabita­ble. The rest of the world, Australia included, must learn somehow to accommodat­e the victims. The Grapes of Wrath is a pretty good place to begin.

As the California­n psychologi­st Louis Cozolino said, it’s not the fittest that will survive, but the nurtured. However much we need brilliant ideas and masculine strength, a civil future rests above all on compassion. Nothing else comes close.

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