The Chronicle

Power of share dividends

It’s the bonus that many investors forget about but are still more than happy to accept

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HUNDREDS of thousands of Australian­s have received a nice financial surprise over the past three weeks as $28.5 billion worth of dividends has been paid by our top 200 stock exchange-listed companies.

Around 90 per cent of the ASX 200 companies elected to pay a dividend out of profits from the past financial year. It is not only an enormous amount of money but a critical performanc­e buffer for your listed investment­s.

The power of dividends to supercharg­e the performanc­e of listed shares (or cushion them in a downturn) is always underestim­ated as we tend to focus only on share-price movement. We often forget the dividend return.

Since January 2004, the indexed share-price return of stocks in the All Ordinaries Index is around 90 per cent. But the total return (shareprice movement plus dividends) is 255 per cent – that’s the power of dividends.

BIG RETURNS

Studies in the US show that over a year, 80 per cent of a share’s return comes from fluctuatio­ns in the share price. But over a five-year investment horizon, 80 per cent of a share’s return comes from dividend yield and dividend growth.

With many top 200 companies paying a dividend yield of 5-7 per cent, add the impact of franking credits and that return can jump to an impressive 9 per cent.

Fully franked dividends are those from companies that have paid the full rate of company tax on their profits. As a result, the share of profits they pay shareholde­rs as a dividend comes with a tax credit equal to the amount of company tax which has been paid to avoid double taxation.

For example, the major banks pay the full 30 per cent company tax on profits so their shareholde­rs receive a dividend with a 30c-in-thedollar tax credit. If a shareholde­r’s marginal tax rate is less than 30 per cent, then that dividend is tax-free.

The four major banks all have fully franked dividend yields over 6 per cent, and we bet they don’t offer that sort of tax-advantaged income return through any of their banking products to customers.

They are attractive returns and a powerful boost to investor returns, but it must be acknowledg­ed that dividend yields are a reflection of not only the share of profits a company pays out but also its share price.

As dividends are fixed as a dollar amount twice a year, the percentage dividend yield will go up if the dividend payout stays the same, while the share price goes down.

So, an investor has to balance up the current attractive dividend yield with the prospects of the individual companies.

Is a low share price because the company is in a prolonged slump and may not be able to maintain its dividend payout?

Or is it a short-term downturn and the company is strong enough to bounce back and maintain its dividend?

If, in consultati­on with your broker or financial planner, it’s the latter reason, then investing in strong blue-chip stocks with good yields can be attractive. Financial services giant AMP is an example of this. In April, its share price was as high as $5.47, while today, it’s down around $3 because of the hammering it received from the banking royal commission.

That plunge in share price has seen the AMP dividend yield rise to 6.25 per cent. A similar situation, although not

to the same extent, has occurred across all the major banking shares as investors nervously wait for the impact of potential regulatory changes.

Westpac has a 6.7 per cent dividend yield, NAB 7.2 per cent, CBA 6.5 per cent and ANZ 5.7 per cent – all fully franked.

Can the banks bounce back with profits and dividends unharmed or will they be less profitable from any proposed changes and have to pare back dividends?

It’s all a question of balance. A good dividend yield from a company producing strong cash flows can provide not only a welcome income stream for investors but ensure a buffer to a falling share price.

LOOK AROUND

The key is to be selective and look for a strong dividend yield, dividend growth and good cash flow to ensure that dividend can be maintained. Brokers consistent­ly have CSR, Telstra, AGL, Wesfarmers and WAM in their lists of stocks paying good dividends. Not only do strong dividends make sense to supercharg­e or cushion share price performanc­e, they have become increasing­ly important for investors looking for income returns to pay bills. After last week’s decision from the Reserve Bank to keep official interest rates on hold again, many analysts are predicting the next rise in rates will not be until the middle of next year, with some even saying it’s more likely in 2020.

Of course, banks have been increasing home-loan interest rates out of cycle but they generally haven’t been lifting savings or term deposit rates. So, a 6-7 per cent fully franked dividend looks incredibly attractive in a low-interest rate, low-inflation environmen­t. As we’ve said, though, you need to get profession­al investment advice to build the right income investment portfolio for you.

A mixture of dividends, income hybrids and bonds can offer good returns.

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