The Chronicle

Trade surplus falls 4.4pc

Result of $1.93b lower than expected as imports grow faster than exports

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AUSTRALIA’S trade surplus dropped 4.4 per cent to $1.93 billion in November, with a near billion-dollar increase in combined gold, fuel and metal ore exports offset by higher import costs, and an expected drop in coal exports.

The nation’s balance on goods and services decreased $88 million in November, down from October’s revised $2.01 billion, according to seasonally adjusted data released yesterday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Analysts, working on the basis of the $2.32 billion surplus initially recorded for October by the ABS, had expected the trade balance to drop to $2 billion.

The Australian dollar dipped on the release of the data before fluctuatin­g and falling further over the next 90 minutes.

Westpac economist Andrew Hanlan (pictured) said the main surprise – on both the import and export side – was the resilience of fuel despite the sharp fall in global energy prices.

November fuel exports were up two per cent, or $90 million, to $5.41 billion, while fuel and lubricant imports dropped $145 million, or four per cent.

Meanwhile, NAB economist Kaixin Owyong said a 2.3 per cent rise in consumptio­n imports growth was likely driven by a seven per cent monthly increase in motor vehicle imports.

“This is likely a positive sign for discretion­ary household spending, perhaps refuting the suggestion that recent car sales data is pointing to softer demand,” she said.

Coal exports dropped as expected after surging in October, down $543 million for November.

Non-monetary gold exports surged 60 per cent, or $681 million, to $1.82 billion, though gold imports also increased by $30 million, or nine per cent. Export of metal ores and minerals rose four per cent, or $317 million, to $8.34 billion.

Rural exports fell, though meat exports rose two per cent, or $25 million.

There was a $368 million, or 78 per cent, increase in the cost of civil aircraft imports.

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