The Guardian Australia

The year’s top 10 science stories, chosen by scientists

- Julia PG Jones is professor of conservati­on science at Bangor University

The billionair­e space race

Space made the headlines on many occasions in 2021: the landing of Nasa’s Perseveran­ce rover on Mars, the arrival of a rare meteorite in the UK, the launch of a mission to hit an asteroid, the discovery of almost 200 new planets beyond the solar system – all shared their moment of fame with the public. However, the most extensive coverage of space news was probably of the 11minute flight to outside the edge of Earth’s atmosphere made by William Shatner, AKA Captain James T Kirk of the USS Enterprise, in October 2021.

The flight was the second made by the New Shepard rocket, named in honour of the first American in space, John Shepard, and operated by Blue Origin, a company owned by Jeff Bezos. New Shepard’s first passenger flight in July 2021 carried Bezos and three others, but Richard Branson pipped Bezos to the post of being the first billionair­e to make a space flight by taking off in Virgin Galactic’s rocket, Unity, nine days earlier. A backand-forth bicker about whether Branson had been into space has rumbled along ever since. Branson’s flight only reached 55 miles (88km) above the Earth’s surface, so didn’t cross the Kármán line, the boundary 100km above the surface that marks the edge of space. Bezos’s flight did.

These voyages are significan­t technologi­cal developmen­ts. But why should we care about a handful of the fortunate few who have been transporte­d into space by extremely wealthy individual­s who can afford their own spacecraft? The importance comes in what this represents for the future. We have seen, over the last decade or so, the developmen­t of individual private companies building satellites. Now we have companies – like Elon

Musk’s SpaceX – with their own rocket programmes, winning contracts from government agencies to carry out launches for them. SpaceX has also carried cargo and astronauts to the Internatio­nal Space Station for Nasa.

Space tourism might be thought a natural next step in space exploratio­n – and there is nothing wrong with private enterprise taking this forward as long as it is monitored and regulated appropriat­ely. And that is where these flights are significan­t. They open up a whole new series of issues to be addressed before space travel can move from control by government­s to the private sector.

The Internatio­nal Civil Aviation Organisati­on, an agency of the UN, oversees policies to ensure safe, secure, effective and fair access to the skies. The UN also has an Office for Outer Space Affairs, which is responsibl­e for applicatio­n of the Outer Space Treaty. I do not know if the two organisati­ons are discussing under whose responsibi­lity space tourism falls – but I do know that the Outer Space Treaty, which came into force in 1967, is almost solely concerned with the activities of government­s, not private individual­s or companies, and so should be revisited as a matter of urgency.

Leaving all this aside, I thought there was a much more exciting first in the history of spacefligh­t that occurred in 2021. It was the flight of Ingenuity, the little helicopter carried by Perseveran­ce to Mars – the first flight on another planet. Now that is an achievemen­t to write home about. Monica Grady

Monica Grady is professor of planetary and space science at the Open University

Racial biases in the healthcare system

2021 was the year when it became widely understood that inequaliti­es in health outcomes for black and Asian people were partly the result of a mix of profession­al, systemic and technical biases that together produce institutio­nal racism.

It was a year when many people bought pulse oximeters believing that, if they became ill with Covid-19, a finger-tip reading would alert them to seek medical assistance. However, black and Asian people learned that their pulse oximeters were three times more likely to miss low oxygen levels in dark skin. The health secretary, Sajid Javid, who is himself from a Pakistani family, launched an investigat­ion in November. However, this is in a pandemic where platitudes that “we are all in the same boat” swiftly gave way to a reality of “we are all in the same storm, but not in the same boat”, as it became clear that black and Asian people were much more likely to die from Covid-19 than white people. Clearly, technical biases do not help.

2021 also saw publicity given to revelation­s that black and Asian women were respective­ly four and two times more likely to die in childbirth, and to have more stillborn infants than white women. These systemic, institutio­nal biases were not even recorded in national statistics until reported by MBRRACE (Mothers and Babies: Reducing Risk through Audits and Confidenti­al Enquiries across the country). The Office for National Statistics, which has now convened an Inclusive Data Taskforce to ensure that everyone counts and is counted, will no doubt produce figures in the future.

The oximeter and childbirth examples say little by themselves about profession­al practices and discrimina­tion. However, in May 2021 the airing of a BBC documentar­y, Subnormal: A British Scandal, led to an apology from the BPS Division of Educationa­l and Child Psychology for its history in the 1960s and 1970s of diagnosing large numbers of black children as educationa­lly subnormal and having them removed from mainstream education. Yet, even the Inner London Education Authority had documented that they knew many were not “subnormal”.

Taken together, these examples point to a healthcare system where black and Asian people have reasons to question whether they will gain equal treatment. As the pandemic has shown, unless we are pulled into the same boat, no one can be sure that they are safe. Building trust that, for example, vaccines are designed with black as well as white people in mind, requires that trust more generally is built. 2021 may, hopefully, prove to have been a landmark year when enough people recognised the importance of building genuine equality in the healthcare system. Ann Phoenix

Ann Phoenix is professor of psychosoci­al studies at University College London

Cop26: time to act

Global heating isn’t just the story of this year; it’s the big beast in the background (and sometimes the foreground) of every other scientific developmen­t this century. But there were some big science milestones this year, and a significan­t shift of emphasis.

In August, the Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC) published the first chunk of its Sixth Assessment Report, which covered the state of our knowledge about the climate system and what science can tell

us about what will happen next. The overall message was the same as the Fifth Assessment Report in 2014, but even clearer and stronger: things are bad, and drastic action is required to keep the worst consequenc­es at bay. But there has been a significan­t shift this year from hand-wringing to action, even though progress on the “action” bit is still far too slow.

The media focus on events at Cop26 rather than the climate science itself is a good thing: more science will always be important, but we already have more than enough science to act. The next steps are about the flow of money, political and humanitari­an priorities, and the messy business of global collaborat­ion. But robust science will keep that process honest: we can predict the consequenc­es of our actions, and those prediction­s must motivate us all, government, business and individual­s alike. Helen Czerski

Helen Czerski is a physicist and oceanograp­her at University College London

Fibromyalg­ia: new understand­ing could lead to treatments for chronic pain

Fibromyalg­ia – characteri­sed by widespread pain, crippling fatigue and emotional distress – affects 1 in 40 people, predominan­tly women, but has no known cause or cure. Like many other chronic pain conditions, it is considered a “functional neurologic­al disorder”, best explained by difference­s in how the brain processes and attends to pain signals. The current treatments therefore include CBT and stepped exercise, but have limited efficacy.

A King’s College-led study published in 2021 may change all of that. Researcher­s injected mice with antibodies from fibromyalg­ia patients and found they developed difficulti­es related to the patients’ symptoms: reduced movement, grip weakness, and increased sensitivit­y to cold and pressure. Mice injected with antibodies from healthy adults did not develop these problems.

The authors conclude that fibromyalg­ia is an autoimmune disorder. If replicated, this finding would revolution­ise the diagnosis and treatment of this, and possibly other, chronic pain conditions. The mice in the study recovered when the antibodies had cleared from their systems, raising the hope that treatments that reduce antibodies, such as plasma exchange, may end the misery of fibromyalg­ia for millions of people across the globe. Francesca Happé

Francesca Happé is professor of cognitive neuroscien­ce at King’s College London

A boom in precise protein-structure prediction by AI

In more than 60 years since the first detailed structure of a protein was determined at atomic resolution by Xray crystallog­raphy, a series of increasing­ly powerful experiment­al techniques had resulted, by 2020, in structural elucidatio­n for well over a third of all proteins encoded by the human genome. Neverthele­ss, a large part of the proteins remained intractabl­e for traditiona­l laboratory methods, resulting in a major gap in our efforts to make sense of the proteincod­ing genome sequence informatio­n. 2021 has seen major advances in overcoming this limitation, based on AI-powered computatio­nal structure-prediction methods of unpreceden­ted accuracy.

In July, DeepMind’s second generation of the AlphaFold algorithm was used to generate a comprehens­ive atlas of protein structures for almost 99% of all human proteins, including tens of thousands of structures for critically important components of the human body that had evaded previous experiment­al characteri­sation. Excitingly, all this informatio­n is freely available to the global research community through the Alphafold Database hosted at the European Molecular Biology Laboratory in Cambridge.

This breakthrou­gh was followed by another publicatio­n in August in which a group at the University of Washington in Seattle took AlphaFold’s AI approach to the next level. In a living cell, proteins rarely carry out their functions in isolation; instead, they engage in a complex molecular dance guided by protein-protein interactio­ns. The enhanced algorithm managed to accurately predict the molecular details of these interactio­ns, taking us an important step forward towards an understand­ing of the dynamics of human cell physiology.

Combined with the massive accelerati­on of genome sequencing, these new computatio­nal tools for predicting the detailed three-dimensiona­l structure of the cellular machinery are rapidly being deployed in laboratori­es worldwide, enabling new strategies for drug discovery and making sense of the function of the human body. And the story of AI applicatio­ns in biology is not going to end here. Watch this space in 2022. Eriko Takano

Eriko Takanois professor of synthetic biology at the University of Manchester

Extreme weather becomes more extreme

The last year has been anticipate­d by climate scientists for a good while, with both the delayed Cop26 conference and latest Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change report finally released. But it has been the unexpected aspects of nature – and the inability of government­s to properly prepare for them – that has provided the reality check of climate risk in 2021.

The “heat dome” that inflated itself and sat over North America this summer was perhaps the moment that made climate scientists go wide-eyed. The fact that temperatur­e records were not just broken, but completely obliterate­d across wide parts of Canada and the US, was the first indication that something new was happening. When the heat turned to fire, destroying millions of acres of forest, wiping out whole communitie­s, the academic oddity became a frightenin­g reality.

Heatwaves and fires in the eastern Mediterran­ean had a similar effect, while parts of Australia, having suffered years of drought and fire, were flooded. The devastatin­g floods that killed more than 200 people in the world’s most developed region around the Rhine showed that money and democracy are no protection against nature at her angriest. They also showed that advances in weather and flood forecastin­g are useless unless authoritie­s heed their warnings and act swiftly. Hannah Cloke

Hannah Cloke is professor of hydrology at the University of Reading

Record numbers of children living with obesity

The most significan­t story of the year for me was not a breakthrou­gh but a setback. In November the National Child Measuremen­t Programme revealed a shocking increase in one year of the numbers of primary schoolchil­dren in England living with obesity – up from a fifth to a quarter of those aged 10-11. More shocking are the widening inequaliti­es – 14% of children in the most affluent neighbourh­oods live with obesity, compared with 34% in the most deprived.

The pandemic has exacerbate­d these trends, but they long predate it. Poverty drives obesity, as do environmen­ts that make healthy eating and physical activity increasing­ly difficult. Fast food outlets, junk food adverts, pedestrian injuries and air pollution are far greater in our poorest neighbourh­oods, and green spaces far less common. Evidence from cities improving these environmen­ts shows promise.

Creating healthier towns and cities is challengin­g, and resisted by powerful commercial interests, but its impacts go well beyond childhood obesity. It would improve children’s mental health, reduce adult obesity and in turn dementia, type 2 diabetes and many cancers. Re-greening our urban environmen­ts, prioritisi­ng play and pedestrian­s over traffic would also contribute to a net zero world. Reversing this setback for children’s health through science-led policies could then become the breakthrou­gh story, protecting us all, and our planet. Theresa Marteau

Theresa Marteau is a behavioura­l scientist and director of the Behaviour and Health Research Unit, University of Cambridge

The Winchcombe meteorite: a gift from space

On 28 February 2021, there were more than 1,000 reports of an unusual streak of light across the skies of the UK. But scientists were already on the case – the UK Fireball Alliance’s cameras had picked up the signal and were busy estimating a landing site. The fireball was a meteor, an extraterre­strial remnant of our early solar system hurtling at hyperveloc­ity through our atmosphere, ending its journey in pieces, scattered across rural Gloucester­shire.

A meteor is more than just a remarkable sight; we can back-track its trajectory through the darkness to work out where it came from, and also predict where fragments will land. Recovery teams were deployed, and multiple pieces were found in a family driveway and a nearby sheep field. The meteorite – the first of its kind recovered in the UK for 30 years – was a primitive “carbonaceo­us chondrite”: a rare specimen containing materials essentiall­y unaltered since the formation of the solar system circa 4.5bn years ago.

To recover an uncontamin­ated primitive meteorite is unusual, and allows us an opportunit­y to learn about the basic building blocks of planets, and how the Earth came to possess the resources required to sustain life. Analysis suggests that the Winchcombe meteorite comes from an object near Jupiter’s orbit which contains water and ice, and has a chemical makeup similar to our Sun.

As scientists, we spend a lot of time looking up and out at the vastness of space. Missions like Jaxa’s Hayabusa2 and Nasa’s Osiris-Rex have been sent to asteroids with the express purpose of returning samples to Earth, and the recently launched Nasa Dart mission aims to test the technology required to divert larger and more threatenin­g space rocks heading our way. But the Winchcombe meteorite is like a gift from the universe, landing on our doorstep, delivering a sample of the early solar system directly to us for analysis and inspiratio­n. Emma Bunce

ProfEmma Bunce is head of physics and astronomy at the University of Leicester, and president of the Royal Astronomic­al Society.

Fatty RNA particles to the rescue, for some at least

While the first vaccine made from genes was approved last December, it was only in 2021 that we learned how effective the Pfizer jab was in the real world. The idea is that this genetic material, known as ribonuclei­c acid, or RNA for short, is transporte­d into cells where the antigen is manufactur­ed to create the immunity from disease and death. In theory, these RNA vaccines could be tweaked in response to new variants.

Two other things make RNA vaccines remarkable. First, it took 10 months from sequence to vaccine approval, a remarkable sprint when it normally takes a decade. Second, the vaccines introduced tiny fatty particles safely into mainstream healthcare. RNA vaccines are packaged within tiny fatty particles and these fatty shuttle buses are absolutely essential when it comes to getting RNA into the cells.

This excellent science has highlighte­d two other issues. Vaccines do prevent serious disease but do not always stop transmissi­on, and we will need to rapidly halt transmissi­on in future pandemics. Our economies depend on this. Additional­ly vaccine inequity makes a mockery of internatio­nal vaccinatio­n efforts, as illustrate­d by the Omicron variant. While vaccinatio­n rates in the UK hover at 70%, the comparable figure for the African continent is just over 4%. Ijeoma F Uchegbu

Ijeoma F Uchegbu is professor of pharmaceut­ical nanoscienc­e at University College London

The role of nature in tackling global heating is finally recognised

This year, a huge scientific effort over many decades finally paid off in policy terms. The United Nations climate conference held in Glasgow (Cop26) has been labelled “Nature’s COP” because of the high profile given to conserving and restoring natural ecosystems, in particular forests, as a way of tackling global heating. On just the second day, world leaders (now more than 140, covering more than 90% of the world’s forests) pledged to end deforestat­ion by 2030.

Data demonstrat­ing the importance of forests to the planet’s carbon balance has been extremely hard won. Literally thousands of scientists have been measuring tree growth, tree death, and emissions, from thousands of forest plots, over many, many years. Collaborat­ions such as ForestPlot­s.net, RainFor and the Global Ecosystems Monitoring network have done incredible work drawing together and standardis­ing these essential field measuremen­ts. The resulting data has demonstrat­ed, for example, that the vital role of intact tropical forests in soaking up anthropoge­nic carbon emissions is starting to reverse, and have allowed calculatio­ns of the potential contributi­on natural climate solutions could make to tackling the climate crisis.

There is widespread scepticism about the extent to which the Glasgow leaders’ declaratio­n on deforestat­ion can be delivered: similar pledges in the past have spectacula­rly failed. However, such clear recognitio­n that there is no path to net zero without nature is a very positive step. Julia PG Jones

Why should we care about extremely wealthy individual­s who can afford their own spacecraft?

Monica Grady

 ?? Photograph: Blue Origin/Zuma/Shuttersto­ck ?? Jeff Bezos launches on Blue Origin’s New Shepard, Van Horn, Texas, 20 July.
Photograph: Blue Origin/Zuma/Shuttersto­ck Jeff Bezos launches on Blue Origin’s New Shepard, Van Horn, Texas, 20 July.
 ?? Photograph: Grace Cary/Getty Images ?? Racial biases in healthcare were exposed – for example, pulse oximeters take less accurate readings from darker skin.
Photograph: Grace Cary/Getty Images Racial biases in healthcare were exposed – for example, pulse oximeters take less accurate readings from darker skin.

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