SEISMIC SHIFT FROM MA­JORS

ALP, LNP sup­port bleed­ing, poll says

The Weekend Post - - News - STEVEN WARDILL

LA­BOR is bleed­ing sup­port in regional Queens­land but fail­ing to pick up seats in the state’s south­east fol­low­ing An­nasta­cia Palaszczuk’s hor­ror start to the elec­tion, which could cost her the pre­mier­ship.

A Cairns Post- Galaxy Poll of seven bat­tle­ground elec­torates has revealed La­bor’s strat­egy of sand­bag­ging regional seats while at­tempt­ing to claim new ter­ri­tory in the south­east will strug­gle to se­cure them a ma­jor­ity.

Sup­port for both ma­jor par­ties has plum­meted in these must-win elec­torates, in­clud­ing Mund­ing­burra, Her­vey Bay, Lo­gan and Bon­ney; how­ever, strong pref­er­ence flows from One Na­tion to the LNP is squeez­ing out sit­ting La­bor MPs.

Sev­eral knife-edge LNP elec­torates in the south­east may now be La­bor’s only path to win the 47 seats nec­es­sary for the Queens­land Premier to se­cure a sec­ond term.

Poll re­sults show La­bor will re­claim Cairns 54 per cent to 46 per cent, af­ter los­ing the seat to Rob Pyne’s de­fec­tion this term. Mr Pyne scored a lowly 11 per cent of the pri­mary vote, beaten by One Na­tion on 13 per cent.

How­ever, the 3.5 per cent swing away from La­bor since the last elec­tion could cost the Govern­ment the mar­ginal seat of Bar­ron River, which both sides are try­ing to win with a high-priced by­pass pro­posal.

Ms Palaszczuk’s cam­paign has been buf­feted by con­stant mis­steps while La­bor’s ev­ere­volv­ing rea­son for ve­to­ing a fed­eral loan to Adani, which would help kick­start its rail line and cre­ate thou­sands of jobs, is prov­ing a dam­ag­ing dis­trac­tion. In the mar­ginal seat of Mund­ing­burra, the LNP is poised to oust Palaszczuk Govern­ment Cabi­net Min­is­ter Co­ralee O’Rourke.

La­bor’s pri­mary vote has slumped from 37.4 per cent to 29 per cent while the LNP has fallen from 40.6 per cent to 30 per cent in a seismic shift away from the ma­jor par­ties.

One Na­tion has picked up 20 per cent of the lo­cal vote, Kat­ter’s Aus­tralia Party scored 12 per cent and the Greens were on 6 per cent.

The re­sults repli­cate a statewide trend of one in three vot­ers back­ing mi­nor par­ties and in­de­pen­dents.

Ac­cord­ing to the Galaxy Poll, the LNP leads La­bor in Mund­ing­burra 52 per cent to 48 per cent on a two-party pre­ferred ba­sis. The swing would im­peril La­bor’s chances in Townsville and Thuringowa, which has strug­gled with high un­em­ploy­ment and a crit­i­cal wa­ter short­age.

La­bor has suf­fered a mas­sive fall in sup­port in its tra­di­tional strong­hold of Rock­hamp­ton, with the party’s pri­mary vote drop­ping from 52.9 per cent to 33 per cent.

Rock­hamp­ton Mayor Mar­garet Strelow, who is run­ning as an in­de­pen­dent, has picked up 14 per cent while One Na­tion is on 21 per cent and the LNP on 23 per cent

La­bor will re­tain the seat, lead­ing 58 per cent to the LNP’s 42 per cent on a twoparty pre­ferred ba­sis; how­ever, this is a sig­nif­i­cant de­cline in the party’s sixth-safest seat.

The re­sults fur­ther raise the prospect of a hung Par­lia­ment, with One Na­tion favoured to win Lock­yer and Hinch­in­brook while the Greens are talk­ing up their chances in South Bris­bane.

Ms Palaszczuk yes­ter­day ruled out an al­liance with the Greens.

HOR­ROR START: An­nasta­cia Palaszczuk at Bris­bane’s Ever­ton Park State School yes­ter­day (right); and Pauline Han­son (left) cam­paigns in Bowen.

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