Industry emissions remain high
Australia’s move toward electrified vehicles has failed to make any significant impact on the average carbon dioxide emissions from new light vehicles sold across the nation.
Latest figures from the National Transport Commission, NTC, released last week showed a meagre 0.2 percent improvement was achieved last year.
Covering all new passenger cars, SUVS and light-commercial vehicles in the marketplace, the national CO2 emissions intensity performance of 180.5 grams per kilometre is the lowest rate of reduction recorded since data collection started in 2002.
It follows an underwhelming 0.4 percent improvement in 2018 and a 0.3 percent reduction in 2017, and again reinforces the painfully slow rate of change in Australia – now at less than two percent annually for five years in a row and marking only a 3.7g-km decline in total from 2015 to 2019.
The stagnation reflects Australian consumers’ long-held preference for larger vehicles – particularly SUVS and utes in today’s market – and automatic transmissions, as well as the absence of mandatory CO2 targets and other initiatives that successive governments have either avoided or had defeated before hitting the statute books. The irony is that the Australian car industry has long been prepared to accept mandatory CO2 targets and other regulatory reforms such as the federal carbon emissions trading scheme proposed more than a decade ago.
As it does every year, the NTC has emphasised that if consumers who purchased a new vehicle last year chose the one with best-in-class emissions, the results would be vastly different – in last year’s case, the CO2 average would have plummeted 63 percent to just 67g-km.
No serious dent
The trouble is, ‘green’ vehicles – defined in this case as emitting no more than 120g-km – made up only 5.7 percent of total light vehicle sales in 2019, up 4.1 percent on the previous year but making no serious dent in the overall result.
Full-electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicle sales totalled 5875 units in 2019, a rise of 149.1 percent on the 2357 EVS sold the previous year, but no more than a fraction – 0.57 percent by our calculations using FCAI and NTC data – of the 1,027,848 officially registered light vehicles across the entire market.
The NTC’S latest report shows that despite regular powertrain updates across the market, CO2 emissions intensity for light-commercial vehicles actually increased last year by 0.7 percent, with the ever-popular 4x4 pick-ups and cab-chassis the worst offenders with an increase of 0.9 percent to 226g-km.
The SUV category overall dropped 1.1 percent to 179g-km, although small SUVS stood out as the only segment not to record an improvement – up 0.5 percent to 157g-km.
Among other key results, the average emissions intensity from government fleets fell 2.0 percent last year to 191g-km – still a high level of intensity owing to the large numbers of LCVS purchased, but reflecting policies to purchase electrified vehicles where possible – while the CO2 average for business fleet purchases rose 0.2 percent to 186g-km.
Private buyers were in greener pastures, down 0.4 percent for the year to 174g-km.
There were no surprises among the individual car manufacturers, with the top-selling brands generally returning high levels of CO2 emissions given broad line-ups and an emphasis on the biggest-selling segments – SUVS and pick-ups.
Ford, which does not at this stage have electrified vehicles in its range and relies heavily on its Ranger ute for its sales volume, had the highest average emissions intensity among the top 15 best-selling brands at 210gkm – ahead of Holden, Isuzu Ute, Mitsubishi, Toyota and Nissan, all of which were above the industry average – while Suzuki, which specialises in small cars and is also still without an EV or hybrid in Australia, was the lowest at 128g-km.
Notably, BMW’S CO2 average increased more than any other brand last year – up 7.3 percent to 162g-km, while arch-rival Mercedes-benz Cars was next with a 3.5 percent uptick to 166g-km.
Subaru and the hybrid-rich marketleading brand Toyota were the biggest improvers, cleaning up their act by 4.4 and 4.3 percent respectively.
Ford also improved over the course of the year, dropping 2.8 percent, while Mercedes-benz Vans went in the wrong direction, pushing up its CO2 average by a disappointing 8.1 percent to 198g-km.