Townsville Bulletin

Scientist warns on threat to planet Earthly life ‘ in danger’

- ANDREW BACKHOUSE

A NORTH Queensland scientist has warned life on Earth is in danger if immediate action is not taken.

Cairns- based professor Jeff Sayer made the stark warning after research was published which showed the global scale of agricultur­al production had already breached two crucial “boundaries” that could endanger human existence.

The professor is part of an internatio­nal team examining agricultur­al production in relation to nine “planetary boundaries”, which if breached could destabilis­e the Earth’s ecosystem.

The research examines threats to human life including climate change, the biosphere, biochemist­ry, freshwater and land systems.

“Agricultur­al production occupies 40 per cent of the land surface of the Earth that isn’t covered by ice, and that’s expected to increase by another 8 per cent by 2050,” Prof Sayer said.

He said agricultur­e was already overwhelmi­ngly responsibl­e for breaching accepted biogeochem­ical limits – the flow of chemicals such as nitrogen and phosphate between living and non- living organisms.

The nine boundaries comprise land- system change ( increasing risk); freshwater use ( increasing risk); biogeochem­ical flows ( breached); change in biosphere integrity ( breached); climate change ( increasing risk); ocean acidificat­ion ( safe); stratosphe­ric ozone depletion ( safe); atmospheri­c aerosol loading ( safe) and introducti­on of novel entities ( safe).

Prof Sayer said the best way to prevent catastroph­e was to make more efficient use of chemical inputs to agricultur­e – pesticides and fertiliser­s – for the biogeochem­ical flows and to manage protected areas to conserve biosphere integrity.

Although the professor’s paper has dire warnings for human life on Earth, life in general is expected to last for another 100 million years.

But many things could potentiall­y destroy life on Earth including a massive volcanic eruption.

An enormous asteroid could also split the Earth into pieces within 450 million years.

Any time within the next million years a wandering star could pass close to the Earth, destroying life on the planet.

Eventually the Sun will expand and swallow the Earth.

Scientists predict that will happen between 1 and 7.5 billion years from today.

Hopefully by that time humans will have developed technology to enable us to colonise other planets.

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