UN pre­dicts Ar­me­nia to empty by 2100

Azer News - - Karabakh Conflict - By Rashid Shiri­nov

Not so long ago, the Ar­me­nian pres­i­dent promised that the coun­try’s pop­u­la­tion will be 4 mil­lion by 2040. How­ever, the new­lyre­leased re­port by the UN has to­tally re­futed Sargsyan’s ex­pec­ta­tions.

The pop­u­la­tion of Ar­me­nia will be about 2.7 mil­lion peo­ple in 2050, which is by 10 per­cent less than the cur­rent fig­ure, ac­cord­ing to the re­port by the De­part­ment of Eco­nomic and So­cial Af­fairs' Pop­u­la­tion Divi­sion.

The cur­rent pop­u­la­tion of Ar­me­nia is 2.93 mil­lion peo­ple, the re­port reads. More­over, Ar­me­nia's pop­u­la­tion will de­crease to 1,849,000 by 2100.

It is note­wor­thy that that this fore­cast by the UN is based on the of­fi­cial sta­tis­ti­cal data of Ar­me­nia. Mean­while, un­of­fi­cial sources claim that the sit­u­a­tion is worse, adding that cur­rently the pop­u­la­tion of this coun­try barely ex­ceeds 2 mil­lion. This fig­ure to­gether with the lower de­mo­graphic fig­ures and strength­en­ing mi­gra­tion sug­gest that less than a mil­lion peo­ple will live in the coun­try by the end of the cen­tury.

Ar­me­nia faces a num­ber of prob­lems – un­em­ploy­ment, cor­rup­tion, in­fla­tion, huge debts, low for­eign in­vest­ment, fall­ing ex­ports and many oth­ers. Nat­u­rally, all this scares the Ar­me­ni­ans – that’s why they do not want to stay in the coun­try, and seek any op­por­tu­nity to leave abroad for­ever.

Back in 1991, the pop­u­la­tion of Ar­me­nia was about 3.6 mil­lion, but the sit­u­a­tion has ex­tremely ag­gra­vated af­ter the Soviet breakup. Due to the gov­ern­ment fail­ures, so­cioe­co­nomic prob­lems and poor prospects of liv­ing in Ar­me­nia, many of the coun­try’s pop­u­la­tion de­cided to leave abroad.

More­over, the birth rate is fall­ing ev­ery year in Ar­me­nia. The of­fi­cial data shows that the birth rate in Ar­me­nia for the first 3 months of this year de­creased by 6.5 per­cent as com­pared to the data of 2016, while the mor­tal­ity rate jumped by 3.8 per­cent. Due to the so­cial and eco­nomic prob­lems in the coun­try, peo­ple in Ar­me­nia can­not af­ford to have chil­dren.

Thus, Ar­me­nia has quite poor de­mo­graphic prospects and the re­port by UN has once again con­firmed that.

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