Risk of new armed up­ris­ing re­mains high in Ar­me­nia

Azer News - - Karabakh Conflict - By Rashid Shiri­nov

The re­cent re­port “Cau­casian Barom­e­ter 2017” of the Cau­ca­sus Re­search Re­source Cen­ter-Ar­me­nia has showed that from state and pub­lic in­sti­tu­tions, only the army and the church have the great­est in­flu­ence in this coun­try – 78 and 74 per­cent re­spec­tively. In con­trast, there is a to­tal dis­trust of the Ar­me­nian au­thor­i­ties.

The re­port’s re­sults demon­strated that there is no branch of power the Ar­me­nian so­ci­ety at­taches hopes to. The over­whelm­ing ma­jor­ity of re­spon­dents do not trust the pres­i­dent, the gov­ern­ment and the par­lia­ment.

It is note­wor­thy that the trust rate of the pop­u­la­tion to the par­lia­ment is the low­est – 12 per­cent. This calls into ques­tion the state­ments of the au­thor­i­ties about the le­git­i­macy of the last par­lia­men­tary elec­tion. As many as 41 per­cent of re­spon­dents said this par­lia­men­tary elec­tion “was not ab­so­lutely fair.”

More­over, a con­sid­er­able part of the re­spon­dents be­lieve that the coun­try is mainly de­vel­op­ing in the wrong di­rec­tion. By and large, this sur­vey showed that the Ar­me­nian so­ci­ety still does not be­lieve in the rul­ing regime and the par­lia­ment, and this has a rea­son­able ex­pla­na­tion.

The wrong pol­icy of the Ar­me­nian au­thor­i­ties leads to a bunch of prob­lems for this poor South Cau­ca­sus coun­try, such as in­fla­tion, un­em­ploy­ment, cor­rup­tion, poverty, weak econ­omy, low for­eign in­vest­ment, fall­ing ex­ports and many others.

This, of course, is re­flected in the mood of Ar­me­nia’s pop­u­la­tion. Many of Ar­me­ni­ans, rightly fore­see­ing that no tan­gi­ble pos­i­tive changes would be ob­served in the coun­try, have long left Ar­me­nia. Statis­tics show that over the past 20 years, more than 1,200,000 peo­ple left the coun­try – this ac­counts for about 40 per­cent of Ar­me­nia’s pop­u­la­tion.

The ma­jor prob­lem of or­di­nary peo­ple is un­em­ploy­ment. The poor econ­omy has re­sulted in the un­em­ploy­ment rate of 19 per­cent which is high­est among all the CIS states. Time af­ter time, Ar­me­ni­ans hold protests de­mand­ing to open new jobs, but the au­thor­i­ties have noth­ing to of­fer the poor peo­ple.

In a coun­try that is in such a ter­ri­ble sit­u­a­tion, there is al­ways a risk of armed up­ris­ing or a ter­ror. Many Ar­me­nian ex­perts think that soon, the man­i­fes­ta­tion of ter­ror­ism in the coun­try will be­come so wide­spread and deep that it will be­come im­pos­si­ble to pre­vent it.

Such an at­tempt was made last sum­mer, when a group of 30 armed men en­tered the ter­ri­tory of a po­lice pa­trol depart­ment in Yere­van and took sev­eral peo­ple hostage. Dur­ing more than two weeks, the at­tack­ers killed two Ar­me­nian po­lice of­fi­cers, and then the armed group even­tu­ally sur­ren­dered. Among the de­mands they named the res­ig­na­tion of the in­cum­bent Ar­me­nian Pres­i­dent Serzh Sargsyan.

To­day, there is still a chance that such an in­ci­dent will hap­pen again, since af­ter ar­rest­ing the at­tack­ers, the Ar­me­nian gov­ern­ment hardly did any­thing to im­prove life of pop­u­la­tion in the coun­try.

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