Postponing the Olympics comes at a cost for Japan
A historic decision to postpone this year’s Olympic Games over the coronavirus pandemic is likely to pile on the pain for Japan’s economy, already expected to be roiled by the global virus outbreak, economists say.
At the end of 2019, organisers estimated the total cost of the Games at around 1.35 trillion yen ($12.6 billion).
That is divided between the city of Tokyo, which is paying 597 billion yen ($5.35 billion), the Japanese organising committee, which contributes 603 billion yen ($5.4 billion) and the central government, which is paying 150 billion yen ($1.34 billion).
But the actual costs for the country have been hotly debated, with a widely publicised audit report estimating national government spending from the bid in 2013 until 2018 at 1.06 trillion yen ($9.5 billion), nearly 10 times the budget.
Japanese businesses have also poured money into the event in sponsorships, paying out a record 348 billion yen ($3.3 billion).
And that figure doesn’t include the partnerships signed between major companies and the International Olympic Committee for rights to sponsor several Games. Among those are giants including Japan’s Toyota, Bridgestone and Panasonic.
According to analysts at Capital Economics, one key factor to consider in terms of how a postponement might hi t Japan’s economy is that most of the spending has already happened.
That means the effects of outlays, most notably on construction of new sporting venues, has already been factored into GDP in recent years.
But a postponement could drag down tourism as well as general consumption in the country, already under pressure after a controversial sales tax hike last year.
Tourism in Japan was already struggling before the coronavirus pandemic, amid a diplomatic spat with South Korea that prompted boycott calls.
And with the virus outbreak, Japan has seen a further fall in South Korean numbers, as well as a plunge in travellers from China, which together accounted for nearly half the 31.9 million foreign visitors to the country in 2019.
In February, the number of foreign visitors to Japan fell 58.3 per cent compared to a year early, with a plunge of 87.9 percent in tourists coming from China, official figures show.
It is also unclear what effect it might have on the 240 billion yen ($2.28 billion) in spending from foreign spectators expected to attend the Games.
The Tokyo 2020 organisers decline to say how many foreign visitors they expect to visit Japan specifically to watch the sporting action.
So far 4.5 million tickets have been sold in Japan, with around 7.8 million expected to be sold overall, 20 to 30 per cent of them internationally.