Cape Breton Post

Donald Trump and the ‘Yellow Peril’

Blaming China one way to possibly save current U.S. presidency

- Gwynne Dyer Gwynne Dyer’s new book is ‘Growing Pains: The Future of Democracy (and Work).’

It was completely predictabl­e that Donald Trump would try to blame China for the fact that at least 30 million Americans are unemployed and that nearly 80,000 Americans have already died of Covid-19. His polling numbers are down and the election is only seven months away. What else was he going to do? Blame himself?

That's why we're now getting the good old ‘Yellow Peril' defence, fresh from the late 19th century. As a memo sent out by the National Republican Senatorial Committee to Republican candidates put it: “Don't defend Trump, other than the China Travel Ban – attack China.”

The coronaviru­s now spreading death across the world certainly originated in China. The Chinese government itself said so, before it started prevaricat­ing after Donald Trump began using China as a scapegoat.

There was at least a week's delay in late December when officials in Wuhan didn't report the outbreak to Beijing, fearing they would be blamed for alarmism, or simply for letting it happen. That's when Dr. Li Wenliang wrote in a private Wechat group: “7 confirmed cases of SARS were reported [to hospital] from Huanan Seafood Market.”

It wasn't really Severe Acute Respirator­y Syndrome. It was a new coronaviru­s closely related to SARS, which had caused a much smaller but lethal epidemic in 2002. But Wuhan officials didn't want to believe it, and on Jan. 3 Li got a warning from the local police to stop “making false comments on the Internet.”

Six days later the first person in Wuhan died of what we now call Covid-19. On the same day, Jan. 9, the World Health Organizati­on (which Trump now vilifies as ‘China's public relations agency”) announced that China had reported the emergence of a new coronaviru­s like those that caused the SARS and MERS epidemics.

So there was at least a week when Chinese officials at the local or national level had the informatio­n and hesitated to publish it, partly because they weren't sure yet themselves. But only two days later Chinese scientists published the full genetic sequence of Covid-19 so that researcher­s everywhere could start working on potential treatments and vaccines.

But then the real delay happened, and it had nothing to do with when China reported the disease. The point is that Western countries did nothing serious about the pandemic for an astonishin­g TWO MONTHS after that.

Italy started locking down some municipali­ties in the country's badly hit north in late February, but no European country went into national lockdown until March 9. The United Kingdom waited a further two weeks after that, until March 24. The United States never did a national lockdown, but most states had social distancing policies in place by early April.

Those even longer delays explain why the U.K. and the U.S. are on track to be the two countries with the highest Covid-19 death rates, but why did they all wait so long. Why weren't they at least setting up comprehens­ive testing, tracing and contacting systems and making more ventilator­s and protective clothing back in January? Did they think they were exempt?

That's probably what they did think, and their people are now being punished for their government­s' arrogance. But Donald Trump's attempt to shift the blame for a huge U.S. death toll and a looming economic disaster onto China is utterly cynical and false. The problem wasn't a week's delay in China; it was a couple of months' delay in America.

The problem wasn’t a week’s delay in China; it was a couple of months’ delay in America.

If it should turn out that the first human infections with Covid-19 were due to a leak from the Biosafety level 4 Wuhan Institute of Virology, not at the Huanan Seafood Market in the same city, it changes nothing. BSL4 labs (there are around 20 in the world) routinely work with dangerous viruses, because otherwise we'd never develop defences against them.

An accidental leak from a BSL4 lab would be a rare and very serious mistake, but that's probably not what happened in Wuhan, and in any case it's clear that no hostile intent was involved. The U.S. national intelligen­ce director's office has determined that Covid-19 “was not manmade or geneticall­y modified.”

That will not stop Donald Trump from scapegoati­ng China, even at the risk of causing a new Cold War. Never mind the fate of the world. It's the fate of Trump's presidency that's at stake here.

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