Edmonton Journal

OILERS GAME DAY

- Jim Matheson

Following are the five keys to Saturday’s game between the Edmonton Oilers and the Minnesota Wild at the Xcel Energy Center in Minnesota (noon TV: SportsNet Radio 630 CHED).

1. Hope Talbot stops bleeding Cam Talbot is off injured reserve and will be back in net after missing seven games with an upperbody problem. He hasn’t played since beating Arizona on Nov. 28. Laurent Brossoit was 3-4 as the starter, with wins in Calgary, Montreal and Columbus.

2. Great shot metrics, but …

The Oilers have taken 166 shots over their past four games but they’ve only won twice, which runs counter to the puck-possession, get-shots-on-net analytics theory. And they’ve only given up 96 shots with the puck continuall­y being in the other team’s end. The Oilers lead the NHL in five-on-five shots with 1,671. But that’s a stat for losers (when they out-shoot the opponent they ’re 9-10-1). They would undoubtedl­y be just fine to get 25 shots against the Wild and score four goals.

3. What happened to King Leon? Leon Draisaitl has only one goal in his last eight games, a shorthande­d marker against Philadelph­ia. He has just two goals in his last 11 games, and three in the past 17 games over the last month. He’s taken just 32 shots in those 17 games. He has a pedestrian 22 points. He’s 83rd in NHL scoring, tied with Kevin Fiala and J.T. Miller.

4. Breaking Wild’s penalty-kill mojo

In Columbus, the Oilers scored twice on the PP against the best home PK in the league, and they ’ll get another test against Minnesota, a team that’s given up only three goals in 47 tries in 15 home games this season. That’s a 93.6 per cent rate of efficiency in their own barn, tops in the league.

5. Try scoring first for a change The Oilers have only done that 12 times in their 32 games and they’re 8-3-1 when they do so. When they don’t, they’re a very fragile 5-14-1. Try leading after two periods, too. They’re 7-0 with the lead after 40 minutes. When they don’t have it, they’re 2-14. So there’s not a lot of comeback in the Oilers.

Big Matchup:

The Oilers will face another backup goalie in Alex Stalock. They have taken 87 shots against No. 2 goalies Curtis McElhinney in Toronto and Nashville’s Jusse Saros and haven’t scored a single goal. Will Stalock. who got his first NHL shutout in three years on Thursday against Toronto, follow McElhinney and Saros’s lead? Stalock is only playing because ex-Oiler Devan Dubnyk is out for several weeks with a right knee sprain.

Special Teams

Oilers: PP: 16-87, 18.4 per cent (17th). PK 29-104, 72.1 per cent (31st).

Wild: PP 19-88 21.6 per cent (fifth). PK 20-117, 82.9 per cent (ninth). Sick Bay:

Oilers: Adam Larsson (back), Andrej Sekera (knee)

Wild: Devan Dubnyk (knee), Zach Parise (back), Jared Spurgeon (groin, questionab­le)

Oilers Lines (projected)

Milan Lucic Connor McDavid ■

Jesse Puljujarvi

Patrick Maroon Ryan-NugentHopk­ins ■ Mike Cammalleri

Jujhar Khaira Leon Draisaitl

Ryan Strome

Anton Slepyshev Mark Letestu ■

Zack Kassian

Defence pairings

Nurse-Russell

Klefbom-Benning

Davidson-Auvitu

Goalies

Laurent Brossoit

Cam Talbot

Wild Lines (projected)

Nino Niederreit­er Mikko Koivu ■

Mikael Granlund

Jason Zucker Eric Staal Zack

Mitchell

Joel Eriksson-Ek Matt Cullen

Charlie Coyle

Tyler Ennis Daniel Winnik

Chris Stewart

Defence pairings

Ryan Suter Matt Dumba

Jonas Brodin Ryan Murphy

Mike Reilly Nate Prosser

Goalies

Alex Stalock

Steve Michalek

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