Edmonton Journal

More Canadian banks measuring carbon risk as clients demand transparen­cy, analysis

- GEOFFREY MORGAN

Investors are paying closer attention to the environmen­tal footprint of Canada’s publicly listed companies, and major banks are responding by offering tools and services to meet growing demand for transparen­cy on carbon emissions.

In a report released Thursday, Toronto-based Kingsdale Advisors says environmen­tal, social and governance, or ESG, “has arrived” in Canada, in light of the growing number of such proposals brought forward by investors.

“This year, we saw a record number of majority-supported ESG proposals in the United States and a strong reception to proposals in Canada,” the proxy adviser said in a report published Thursday.

Significan­tly, Kingsdale found the number of shareholde­rs in North America abstaining from votes on ESG issues has plummeted over time, falling from an average of 16 per cent of shareholde­rs abstaining in 2010 to just four per cent in 2017, as they get more engaged in the issues.

Major investors — like BlackRock and Fidelity Investment­s — are increasing­ly active in putting forward these proposals and in voting in their favour.

“More and more so, you’re hearing not just from niche investors that have a pure ESG mandate but some of our mainstream investors have been asking those questions as well, and that obviously gets the attention of the organizati­on,” said Andrew Craig, director of environmen­tal affairs at Royal Bank of Canada.

In recent months, a handful of European banks including HSBC Plc have published new lending guidelines focused on carbon and climate change issues. While Canadian banks have not changed their lending policies, banks here and across North America are offering clients tools to measure carbon risk.

“ESG is an element that has increased significan­tly and, I dare say, exponentia­lly over the last five years,” CIBC Capital Markets equity strategist Ian de Verteuil said. “In Canada, it’s probably been over the last two or three years. Canada’s been a little slower to deal with these things.”

CIBC’s carbon tracker competes directly against those developed by companies like Sustainaly­tics and MSCI Inc. De Verteuil is part of the team that updated the bank’s carbon risk assessment tool this month, providing investors with emissions data that can be used to determine whether their portfolios are over- or under-exposed to carbon emissions — and the risk of rising carbon taxes.

“It seems to me that there is a risk that there will be higher carbon taxes in the future,” he said.

Carbon has been a particular focal point for institutio­nal investors, bank analysts and credit ratings agencies as carbon tax policies could have a material financial impact on several sectors, including the Canadian energy, utilities and mining industries.

The federal government has been working to implement a Canadawide carbon price, but has recently run up against increased opposition from provinces that had previously supported the framework, namely Alberta and Ontario.

Analyzing carbon risk is difficult even in consistent policy environmen­ts, but recent dramatic changes and some outright reversals in environmen­tal policy both in Canada and the U.S. add to the challenges, according to de Verteuil.

RBC is working on a scenario analyses of the impact of carbon policies on companies in various industries’ ability to repay their debts, including energy and utilities.

The bank has begun compiling internal reports on publicly listed companies’ carbon emissions when its financial analysts review those companies’ stock and financial performanc­e, said Jason Milne, from RBC Global Asset Management.

RBC is analyzing firms based on their emissions per $1 million in revenue, and their emissions per $1 million in market capitaliza­tion.

CIBC’s de Verteuil said his bank’s tool considers a firm’s total carbon emissions divided by its market capitaliza­tion, but some investors prefer to divide by factors like number of people employed or total output.

Approaches vary across financial institutio­ns and ratings agencies.

“Understand­ing carbon risk in a portfolio can help investors make better decisions,” Chicago-based Morningsta­r Inc. analysts wrote in a report published in April, which describes how the investment research firm assigns a carbon risk score to the equities it covers.

Other banks, such as TD Bank, are still developing carbon risk tools, which is a growing research area that is expected to generate more disclosure and research in the coming years given investor interest.

At the moment, Canadian banks and credit ratings agencies say they are focused on quantitati­ve analysis of carbon, and not making value judgments on where their clients should invest.

“One difference between our approach and many of the other providers is that we are very focused on financial materialit­y and financial impact,” Moody’s Investors Services senior vice-president Swami Venkataram­an said.

 ?? PETER J. THOMPSON ?? Carbon has captured the interest of institutio­nal investors, bank analysts and credit ratings agencies as carbon tax policies could have a financial impact on sectors such as energy, utilities and mining.
PETER J. THOMPSON Carbon has captured the interest of institutio­nal investors, bank analysts and credit ratings agencies as carbon tax policies could have a financial impact on sectors such as energy, utilities and mining.

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