Montreal Gazette

Amazon ‘threat’ another challenge for Loblaw

Whole Foods acquisitio­n one of several challenges facing Canadian grocery giant

- HOLLIE SHAW Financial Post hshaw@nationalpo­st.com Twitter.com/HollieKSha­w

Loblaw’s business is being challenged by rising competitio­n, the lingering effects of food deflation, minimum wage hikes and drug reform, but none of the threats seemed to loom as large in the grocery company’s secondquar­ter conference call as the potential impact of Amazon’s acquisitio­n of Whole Foods on the industry.

In the food retailer’s first set of quarterly results since Amazon made its groundbrea­king US$13.7billion purchase announceme­nt in June, Loblaw chief executive Galen Weston said the retailer remains confident about its current online sales model, a “click-and-collect” platform that allows customers to pick up online orders in the parking lots at 140 stores across Canada.

But it could be inevitable that home delivery, a much costlier option in the low-margin universe of food retail, is on the horizon.

“Our job is to meet customers’ needs, and customers tell us what they want,” Weston told analysts. “To the extent that delivery needs to become part of that, we are certainly open to considerin­g it.”

Loblaw is taking stock of the “very compelling threat that omnichanne­l, and particular­ly Amazon, represents to Canada,” he added. “We did the same level of assessment when Walmart was arriving in the Canadian market as many as 15 years ago.”

The country’s largest grocery and pharmacy retailer saw its shares fall about four per cent on Wednesday, though it more than doubled net earnings in the period ended June 17 to $358 million, or 89 cents per share, compared with profit of $158 million (39 cents) a year ago.

Adjusted earnings were $1.11 per share, beating average analyst estimates of $1.10 per share, according to Thomson Reuters. Revenue rose 3.2 per cent to $11.08 billion and same-store sales, a key measure of retail performanc­e, were up one per cent.

But Loblaw warned of “significan­t regulatory headwinds” heading into 2018 amid government measures to lower drug prices further in Quebec, and what Weston called “aggressive” increases in the minimum wage planned for Alberta and Ontario that will make “a meaningful impact on the operating costs of our retail businesses.”

Loblaw estimates the proposed wage hikes will increase its labour costs by $190 million next year.

“There is a ton of uncertaint­y in grocery retail right now,” said Brittany Weissman, retail analyst at Edward Jones. “Amazon sent shockwaves through the grocery industry when they announced that acquisitio­n. Everyone knew e-commerce in grocery was something that the industry would eventually adapt to, but I think this has accelerate­d (traditiona­l grocers’) need to figure it out earlier.

“There are a number of questions and people don’t know the answer to — how big will click and collect get, what does this mean for Canada, and what does this mean for grocery longer term? With all of these regulatory issues, this is another headwind for Loblaw to battle against.”

Shares of Sobeys owner Empire Co. fell 2.55 per cent to close Wednesday. Metro Inc., the country’s third-largest grocer, fell 1.76 per cent.

Whole Foods operates only 13 stores in two Canadian provinces, British Columbia and Ontario, but industry watchers believe the impact of Amazon’s deal could transform the grocery industry in North America, giving the online giant clear bricks-and-mortar access points.

Loblaw will have click-andcollect rolled out to 200 of its stores by the end of this year, and Walmart is fast behind it.

Walmart offers click-and-collect on fresh grocery orders at dozens of stores in Ontario, and plans to have 100 stores up and running by the end of the year before rolling it out to the remainder of its 410 stores in Canada. It also delivers groceries to select condo complexes in Toronto.

Grocery retailers have faced tepid same-store sales results for the better part of a year as food price deflation has eaten away at overall revenue and they compete aggressive­ly with one another on price. Loblaw’s food prices fell slightly more than average quarterly national food price deflation of 1.4 per cent, the retailer said.

At Shoppers Drug Mart, samestore sales were up 3.7 per cent. The company continues to be pleased with the results of rolling out fresh food to selected Shoppers Drug Mart locations in urban centres, most recently extending the program to the Vancouver area. “People are looking for a top-up fresh food shop that is close to where they live,” Weston said.

Amazon sent shockwaves through the grocery industry when they announced (the Whole Foods) acquisitio­n.

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