National Post

Trump calls China’s bluff

- Josh Rogin

The Trump administra­tion last week announced secondary sanctions against Chinese entities accused of aiding North Korea’s illicit nuclear and missile programs. The action is a sharp turn in President Donald Trump’s approach to China and the start of a new and unpredicta­ble effort to use sticks instead of carrots with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

The new sanctions against one Chinese bank, one Chinese business and two Chinese individual­s are not a total surprise. Last week, Trump tweeted that he appreciate­d Xi’s efforts on North Korea but “it has not worked out.”

Trump officials presented the new sanctions as focused on North Korea and not Beijing. “We are in no way targeting China with these efforts,” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said at a news conference Thursday. “We appreciate their work and hope they will continue to work with us.”

He said administra­tion officials would be meeting with Chinese officials on the sideline of the Group of 20 meeting to discuss further ways to stop North Korea’s illicit activities.

But behind the scenes, officials said that the decision to unveil the new sanctions came after a good-faith effort to identify Chinese firms the United States believes are underminin­g internatio­nal sanctions against the Kim Jong Un regime and press Xi’s government to take action.

The U. S. submitted a list of such firms to China and gave Beijing 30 days to respond, officials said. Beijing responded, with a report on actions it claimed to be taking, but the Trump administra­tion found it to be insufficie­nt. The Treasury Department said it will move forward without Beijing’s co- operation. “Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcemen­t Network (FinCEN) announced a finding that Bank of Dandong, a Chinese bank that acts as a conduit for illicit North Korean financial activity, is a foreign bank of primary money laundering concern, and FinCEN has proposed to sever the bank from the U. S. financial system,” the Treasury Department said in a notificati­on.

Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control ( OFAC) designated two Chinese individual­s and one Chinese company “in response to North Korea’s ongoing WMD developmen­t and continued violations of UN Security Council resolution­s,” the notificati­on stated.

Lawmakers and experts praised the move as a sign that Trump’s previously announced policy of “maximum pressure” on Pyongyang was now materializ­ing.

“It’s a great step forward and this shows that max- imum pressure is not just rhetoric,” said Cory Gardner, the Colorado Republican who chairs the Senate’s foreign relations East Asia subcommitt­ee. “I hail this first decision, but there are more sanctions that need to be done. This is a dial that now we’ve started turning and we need to amp it up.”

Last year, the Obama administra­tion placed sanctions on and indicted the chief executive of Dandong Hongxiang Industrial Developmen­t, a company accused of underminin­g North Korea sanctions. But Thursday’s actions mark the first time the Trump administra­tion has directly confronted Chinese sanctions busting.

The goal is still to convince Xi that working with the U. S. to increase pressure on North Korea is in China’s interest, experts say. So far, Xi hasn’t shown signs he agrees and these limited efforts are not likely to change his overall calculus.

“The reality is that China has not taken what is the most important step, which is shutting down North Korean access to Chinese banks and front companies that enable them to launder money and continue their illicit activities,” said Bonnie Glaser, senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and Internatio­nal Studies. “The secondary sanctions are not enough, we still need China to act.”

These sanctions are more symbolic than anything else, she said, but show that the Trump administra­tion has changed course and is now heading down the road of increasing pressure on thirdparty countries that allow their people and businesses to do illicit transactio­ns with the North Koreans.

“The real problem with these banks in Northeast China is, you can shut them down and they just pop up somewhere else and we’ ll just be playing whack- amole,” said Glaser.

And although the Trump administra­tion may be thinking that confrontin­g China on North Korea can be accomplish­ed without upsetting other parts of the U. S.China relationsh­ip, that is not likely what will happen. That’s because other contentiou­s bilateral issues are also heating up, including the South China Sea and Taiwan.

“There will be a much more contentiou­s relationsh­ip going forward,” said Glaser. “The trajectory of the relationsh­ip is going to be towards more strategic competitio­n.”

SANCTIONS ARE NOT ENOUGH, WE STILL NEED CHINA TO ACT.

 ?? ALEX BRANDON / THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES ?? Relations may be frayed between U. S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping after sanctions.
ALEX BRANDON / THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES Relations may be frayed between U. S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping after sanctions.

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