National Post

Trump’s Afghan strategy low on details

- Josh Lederman Robert Burns and

• Declaring the U. S. will win “in the end,” President Donald Trump vowed Monday night to keep American troops fighting in Afghanista­n despite his earlier inclinatio­n to withdraw. But he insisted the U. S. would not offer “a blank cheque” after 16 years of war, and he pointedly declined to say whether or when more troops might be sent.

In a prime-time address billed as the unveiling of his new Afghanista­n strategy, Trump said the U. S. would shift away from a “time- based” approach, instead linking its assistance to results and to co- operation from the beleaguere­d Afghan government, Pakistan and others.

Still, he offered few details about how that approach would differ substantiv­ely from what the U. S. has already tried unsuccessf­ully under the past two presidents.

“We will not talk about numbers of troops or our plans for further military activities,” Trump said.

“Conditions on the ground, not arbitrary timetables, will guide our strategy from now on.”

Trump also said the U. S. “can no longer be silent” about terrorist safe havens in Pakistan.

He said Pakistan often gives sanctuary to “agents of chaos, violence and terror,” and said the Taliban and other groups there pose a threat to the region and beyond.

Trump said a change in the U. S. approach to Pakistan is a pillar of his administra­tion’s strategy to the war in neighbouri­ng Afghanista­n.

He added that Pakistan has much to gain f rom partnering with the U. S. and much to lose from harbouring terrorists.

Ahead of his speech, U. S. officials said they expected the president to go along with a Pentagon recommenda­tion to send nearly 4,000 new troops, boosting the total of 8,400 in Afghanista­n now. At its peak, the U. S. had roughly 100,000 there, under the Obama administra­tion in 2010-2011.

Trump said his “original instinct was to pull out,” alluding to his long-expressed view before becoming president that Afghanista­n was an unsolvable quagmire requiring a fast U. S. withdrawal. Since taking office, Trump said, he’d determined that approach could create a vacuum that terrorists including al- Qaida and the Islamic State could “instantly fill.”

Trump said the American people are “weary of war without victory.”

“I s hare t he America people’s frustratio­n,” Trump said at the Army’s Joint Base Myer- Henderson Hall, in Arlington, Virginia, across the Potomac River from the White House. Still, he insisted that “in the end, we will win.”

Trump’s speech concluded a months- long internal debate within his administra­tion over whether to pull back from the Afghanista­n conflict, as he and a few advisers were inclined to do, or to embroil the U.S. further in a war that has eluded American solutions for the past 16 years. Several times, officials predicted he was nearing a decision to adopt his commanders’ recommenda­tions, only to see the final judgment delayed.

The Pentagon has argued the U.S. must stay engaged to ensure terrorists can’t again use the territory to threaten America. Afghan military commanders have agreed, making clear they want and expect continued U. S. military help. But elected officials in the U. S. have been mixed, with many advocating against sending more troops.

As a candidate, Trump criticized the war and said the U. S. should quickly pull out, but he also campaigned on a vow to start winning wars. Exiting now, with the Taliban resurgent, would be impossible to sell as victory.

“I think there’s a relative certainty that the Afghan government would eventually fall,” said Mark Jacobson, an Army veteran and NATO’s former deputy representa­tive in Kabul.

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