National Post

Democrats see edge in debt ceiling debate

ECONOMY Could open door to bipartisan U.S. tax reform

- David Morgan

• Democrats in the U. S. Congress wield little clout nowadays, but they will l i kely have plenty of influence on the looming issue of the U. S. debt ceiling and party leaders are considerin­g whether they should try to convert that advantage i nto bargaining power on tax reform.

Even though they control the White House and both chambers of Congress, Republican­s are again divided among themselves as pressing fiscal issues rattle financial markets and test U. S. President Donald Trump’s ability to keep the country’s accounts in order.

The debt ceiling is a legal cap on how much money the federal government can borrow to fund its budget deficits and meet debt obligation­s.

Failure to meet payments could lead to a default and a downgrade in America’s credit rating, with the potential to trigger global financial shock waves.

Speaking to reporters at the White House on Friday, U. S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he was “100 per cent confident” that the debt ceiling would be raised in September.

“There i s no scenario where t he government won’t be paying its bills,” Mnuchin said.

Action is needed to raise the debt ceiling by Sept. 29, the administra­tion has warned, although some fiscal experts say the deadline may actually be mid- October.

The Trump administra­tion wants Congress to pass a “clean” increase, without extraneous political measures attached.

But, reflecting long divisions in the party over fiscal policy, many conservati­ve Republican­s have said they will not vote for a debtlimit bill that does not also contain promises of federal spending cuts.

So, analysts say, Trump and Republican leaders will need the votes of Democrats, who generally favour a clean bill, to raise the debt limit and avoid a default.

Armed with this edge, Democrats are considerin­g using the debt debate to press Republican­s for bipartisan tax reform, said Democratic Senate aides, which would inject new uncertaint­y into the debt limit issue.

Overhaulin­g the tax code is a top priority for Trump and his fellow Republican­s, but they have made little progress since the president took office in January. Their behind- closed- doors planning process so far on tax reform has ignored the Democrats.

Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and House of Representa­tives Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi are skeptical about supporting a debt ceiling increase while Republican­s pursue tax cuts that Democrats say would cause the federal deficit to balloon.

“We’re telling Republican­s that if it is their intention to use that debt limit increase to allow for tax cuts for the wealthy, that they are going to have a harder time getting Democratic votes,” said a Senate Democratic aide.

Senate Democrats offered earlier this month to move f orward with bipartisan legislatio­n on taxes, on condition that changes do not add to the deficit or benefit the wealthy.

For now, Senate and House Democrats are watching Republican­s and the Trump administra­tion wrangle over the debt ceiling, with no clear plan yet in sight. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker Paul Ryan have not said if they want a clean bill.

Ryan said on Thursday t hat Congress will pass legislatio­n to raise the federal debt ceiling, noting that lawmakers have several options. McConnell has said the debt ceiling will be raised, a spokesman said on Thursday.

Pelosi spokesman Drew Hammill said in an email: “Leader Pel osi has expressed support for a clean debt ceiling hike, but has also echoed the concerns that many House Democrats have about supporting such a move while Republican­s simultaneo­usly blow a multi- trillion dollar hole in the deficit with tax cuts for millionair­es and billionair­es.”

 ?? ALEX WONG / GETTY IMAGES ?? U. S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he was “100-per- cent confident” that the debt ceiling would be raised in September. “There is no scenario where the government won’t be paying its bills,” he said.
ALEX WONG / GETTY IMAGES U. S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he was “100-per- cent confident” that the debt ceiling would be raised in September. “There is no scenario where the government won’t be paying its bills,” he said.

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