National Post

Firming quake insurance

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Re: Tremors of a moral hazard, Neil Mohindra, Sept. 13

Neil Mohindra’s opinion piece highlights the existentia­l threat that system- wide risk from severe earthquake­s poses to the insurance industry and correctly points out the inherent moral hazard risks in the financial industry.

The Insurance Bureau of Canada ( IBC) is encouraged by the Department of Finance calling attention to the need for a stable and resilient financial sector, making the protection of Canadian consumers a priority.

The insurance industry, along with federal regulators, has addressed systemic risk, in part, by raising industry capitaliza­tion well above i nternation­al standards. They will be prepared for a one- in- 500- year event by 2022, establishi­ng the ability to withstand the majority of earthquake­s. Beyond a certain threshold, insurers simply won’t have capital to survive. As insurers fail, distressed surviving insurers are required to meet the obligation­s of the failed insurers. Financial contagion sets in as these obligation­s cause large-scale second- round institutio­nal failures.

Public- private partnershi­ps for natural catastroph­es are effective risk- management solutions around the world. The insurance industry seeks emergency access to capital in the form of credit to deal with shortterm liquidity issues only in the most severe earthquake scenarios. Very different from a “backstop,” an emergency lending agreement is repayable, and it does not prevent insurers from faili ng. Emergency l ending stops contagion in its tracks as the unintended chain of second-round failures would be avoided.

What would happen if there was no public- private arrangemen­t? Where emergency lending is not in place and financial contagion is triggered? With many failing financial institutio­ns, the financial burden of disaster relief and recovery would fall solely on the government.

Most i mportantly, a public- private partnershi­p dealing with systemic risk ensures that Canadians can count on their insurer despite catastroph­ic events.

Don Forgeron, president and CEO, Insurance Bureau of Canada

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