National Post

Canada sustains gains in jobs streak

Full-time surge offsets decline in part-time work

- Andy Blatchford

• The labour market posted a 10th- straight month of net job gains in September to match the economy’s longest monthly streak since the financial crisis almost a decade ago, Statistics Canada said Friday.

The national unemployme­nt rate stayed at a nineyear low of 6.2 per cent after Canada added 10,000 net new jobs, including a surge of 112,000 full-time positions.

The rise in full- time work more than offset a drop of 102,000 part-time jobs.

Wage growth also perked up in the latest survey, a long- awaited developmen­t after it remained surprising­ly low earlier in the year despite the steady tightening of the country’s job market.

Experts underlined a lot of positives in a jobs report that arrived amid recent signs suggesting the economy is already starting to cool down, as widely expected, following red-hot start to the year.

“The underlying story is the economy is still churning out jobs at a pretty solid pace, the unemployme­nt rate is slowly but surely grinding down and, yes, the majority of the job gains actually are in full-time positions,” BMO chief economist Doug Porter said in an interview.

“So, I would categorize this as a robust report. The headline number isn’t that impressive, but the details were quite impressive.”

On average hourly wages, Porter said l ast month’s 2.2- per- cent, year- over- year growth “isn’t going to knock anybody’s socks off,” but he noted the number does mark a comeback from some mysterious­ly soft numbers earlier in the year.

Scotiabank’s Derek Holt said wage growth has seen some considerab­le gains in recent months and was only 0.5 per cent as recently as April.

“There is serious considerat­ion to be given to the argument that the Bank of Canada is behind wage and price pressures that may be starting to spiral upward,” Holt wrote Friday in a research note to clients.

He said the squeeze could lead the inflation- targeting central bank towards another interest- rate hike as early as October. Overall, Holt called the quality of the job growth “solid.”

CIBC chief economist Avery Shenfeld had a different take on the report.

He said Canada’s job market was “ho-hum” last month and in line with other signals of a moderation in economic growth. In a note to clients, Shenfeld suggested that weighs against the probabilit­y of a third interest rate hike this year from the Bank of Canada.

The jobs report Friday showed an increase in factory work as the goods- producing sector added 10,500 jobs, compared to a loss of 500 positions in the services industry.

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